Monday, November 16, 2009

Deloitte Finds 2009 Holiday Shoppers Will Use A Lot More Social Media




Deloitte’s recently published 24th Annual Holiday Survey of retail spending and trends vindicates what you are likely seeing all around you. Consumers are expected to increasingly use social media for their holiday shopping this year.

Deloitte finds 17% of consumers plan to use social media in their holiday shopping, and among those, 60% plan to use it to find discounts, coupons and sale information. 53% plan to use social media to research gift ideas and 52% plan to check the gift wish lists of friends and family.

In terms of user demographics, 52% are 18-29 years old, 33% are 30-44 years old and 12% are 45-60 years old. 19% plan to use their cell phone to find store locations, research prices, find product info, get discounts and coupons and read reviews. 25% expect to make a holiday purchase with their phone. 22% will shop primarily online this year, and 44% will use an online coupon.

Here are some more interesting findings:

Consumers May Not Return to Old Habits
Consumers have not only changed their shopping habits for this year, but this could well be a permanent change. 26% will spend less in the future than prior to the recession. 44% say they are loyal to stores they like, but make fewer trips or purchase less at them. According to Deloitte’s Stacey Janiak, “…Consumers will not return to spending levels seen before the recession anytime soon, and high-volume discretionary purchasing could remain a thing of the past.”

Men More Optimistic Than Women and Spending More
Women are less optimistic about the economy, and 53% of women would spend less this holiday season, compared to 43% of men. 50% women say the economy will improve next year, compared to 58%.

Sustained Interest in Green
20% say they plan to purchase more eco-friendly products this holiday season than they did in the past. 47% are willing to pay more for a green gift.

The survey polled 10,878 consumers between September 24 and October 2, 2009.

Here’s what we have to say:

First, this is a big win for social media in general and also for US consumers. Last year, social media (whether it be Twitter, Facebook, MySpace or LinkedIn) would not have made the radar either in terms of affecting the overall consumer psyche, much less impact retail buying behavior. US consumers are turning out to be a smart lot and social media has also gained ground. So it does make a whole lot of sense that cost-conscious consumers with increasing usage of networks, connections and friends are able to scout out and take advantage of deals. It’s harder to say whether retailers will win or lose, clearly lowest prices will be discovered quickly and consumers will gravitate to them, but retailers can also use social media and use viral marketing to their advantage to buzz their products at fractions of cost of normal advertising.


Second, we wonder how social media will be used. Will stores Twitter about what’s on sale on a shelf? Will you get instant info on whether size 9 is available at Neiman Marcus in the color you’re looking for? Will your friend Twitter you on a great discount she has found? Will retailers announce midnite sales with throwaway prices and bitly their coupon? Will you get a sales invite or coupon from your friend on Facebook? Will you become a fan of Sports Authority and buy a golf set when it comes on sale? Will groups of friends on Facebook converge at a retailer site to make a bulk purchase to gain discounts? And many such others.

Third, we would not be surprised if both consumers and retailers find innovative ways to clear both the information and goods market. This is the serendipitous juxtaposition of a high volume of consumers, retailers and smart social media platforms. And this will likely lead someone to come up with a unique way to leverage social media, and some sharp entrepreneur will pick it up create a new service. Exciting, isn’t it?



In any case, don't be surprised this year if you see one of every three 38-year old women set down their iphones in a mall, expand a bitly link on their Twitter account, come up with the bar code on Twitpic and scan it on the cash register to get a pure cashmere wool sweater, originally $125, for just $32!! That’s the real deal.

A Wake-up Call For America




We saw this on the Grant Thornton home page, and the title was so tantalizing, it was too good not to dig in and blog about it.

This recently released study by David Weild and Edward Kim indicates that a sharp fall in US publicly listed companies is generally driving a depression in US stock markets and further, that it has inhibited economic recovery, impaired the job market and undermined U.S.competitiveness. The deep underlying cause for this – severe changes to the market structure over the last twenty years.

The effects are well known, and we read the authors’ 44 page report to see if the connection to IPOs is well founded. We’ll quote verbatim from the report to make points and we’ll add our own analysis and observations.

First of all, we must say it is a compelling read with some disturbing trends and conclusions that vividly show that the US has experienced serious decline of leadership in the IPO market, and overseas markets have seen rapid growth in IPO listings, especially in Asia, where listings have more than exceeded their strong GDP performance.

“The Great Depression in Listings,” as Grant Thornton calls it, is the precipitous decline over the last decade in the number of publicly listed companies in the United States. Consider in 2008, there were 6,943 publicly listed companies in the US, a full 38% lower than the previous peak of 8,823 US companies, and this comparison looks even worse at minus 55% if you adjust this number for intervening GDP growth. The authors think that the number of companies in the US should actually double to keep up with “replacement” level of what is needed on a relative basis.

What has led to this significant drop? The authors list three key causes:

1. Problems in market structure are undermining the United States’ global competitiveness. Essentially, US listed markets are in secular decline since 1991

2. The number of new listings needed merely to maintain the United States’ listed markets is much larger than expected. US lags Asia and its capacity to generate new listings is well below replacement needs. The US needs 360 new listings per year merely to maintain a steady number of listed companies in the U.S.

3. The lack of new listings in the United States’ markets is threatening the U.S. job market. This impacts small businesses the most, and the authors calculate that up to 22 million jobs may have been lost because of the broken US IPO market.

Grant Thornton has a strong argument that the underlying reason for “The Great Depression in Listings” is not Sarbanes-Oxley, but what they call “The Great Delisting
Machine,” an array of regulatory changes that were meant to advance low-cost trading, but have had the unintended consequence of stripping economic support for the value
components (quality sell-side research, capital commitment and sales) that are needed to support markets, especially for smaller capitalization companies. GT cautions that today, capital formation in the U.S. is on life support. Within the venture capital universe, the average time from first venture investment to IPO has more than doubled.

The authors content that low cost trading, the advent of the online brokerage (ETrade, Ameritrade etc.), new order handling rules, decimalization (remember the cute fractions for stock prices), Sarbox and the global research settlement has led to a culture of “Casino Capitalism” in the US markets. Black pools of capital, unregulated hedge funds, naked and predatory shorting, high-frequency trading, and credit defaults swaps (the menace which led to this recent recession) are all rampant and rapidly spreading in US markets. The charts show that high frequency trading accounts for 70% of all US equities trading.

Is all lost? The authors point to two solutions which can help, and Grant Thornton urges Congress and the SEC to hold immediate hearings to understand why the U.S. markets have shed listings at a rate faster than any other developed market, and to pursue solutions that, together with thoughtful oversight, will advance the U.S. economy, grow jobs, better protect consumers and reduce the deficit — all without major expenditures by the U.S. government:

1. Alternative public market segment: A public market solution that provides an economic model to support the “value components” (research, sales and capital commitment) in the marketplace. This solution would establish a new, parallel market segment that benefits from a fixed spread and commission structure. It would be subject to traditional SEC registration and reporting oversight (e.g., annual and quarterly reporting, Sarbanes-Oxley compliance).

2. Enhancements to the private market: A private market solution that enables the creation of a qualified investor marketplace — consisting of both institutional investors and large accredited investors — that allows issuers to defer many of the costs associated with becoming a public company before they are ready for an IPO. This market would serve as an important bridge to an IPO.

The first one is almost a throwback to the eighties with fixed commissions to support value-adding trading activites, while the second calls for a shadow market where unregistered securities can be freely transacted by legal investors.

The report is full of charts which support the (rather distressing) conclusions, and Grant Thornton has provided insights and trends not heretofore studied in this manner. The historical facts are clear and point to a crisis in IPO markets in the US.

The authors draw a dramatic conclusion that 22 million jobs have been potentially lost due to the decline of IPO listings since 1997. This is a huge number, and though the presented math seems to support this, it is arguable whether so many jobs have not been created in the US, and conversely if the IPO market were to revive, that we could create equal numbers on the rebound. Clearly, a large number of US jobs have not been created since more companies did list outside the US - but 22 million, that just stretches our envelope. Does going IPO automatically create jobs? And don’t pre-IPO companies hire employees, regardless of whether they list in the US or not?

Doubtless, there is a crisis in the US IPO markets, and this issue is getting compounded each year. If action were not taken now, the US could lose the lead it has held for decades in global capital markets. The situation is dire indeed, and all regulators and lawmakers should react to save the US from certain followership.

This report is a must-read for all players in the capital market space, and we trust you will find the results equally astounding.

Clearly, this is a wake up call for America, and the title does full justice to the seriousness of this problem.

Here's the report on GT's website.

Monday, November 09, 2009

Checkout Our “The Best Of “Twitter Lists – Love Your DM or RT


Twitter just released its latest exciting functionality - Twitter Lists, and we think it’s awesome and very timely.

It allows us to curate who we think are the most appropriate Tweeters to follow in our niche space of The Big Four Firms, accounting, finance, tax, jobs and related topics.

We have already created some list, which we are calling “The Best Of”. We rather like this name, but we’ll evolve as lists get more ingrained, and may change.

For example after our search, all the Twitterers we think are most relevant to follow for Deloitte happenings in the Twitter universe, we have added to our “The Best of Deloitte” list.

This is our subjective selection, and we think it's a pretty good one. That’s not to say that we have completely covered all the bases, so if there is someone that just needs to be on or off any of these lists, please DM or shout out to us @big4alum. Thanks in advance.

Also, we’ll continue to refine and add/subtract to this list over time, but our intent is to keep them highly relevant and focused. We see that some of our list already have some followers and no doubt this will pick up as Twitter Lists get more ingrained and Twitter itself allows tweets and Twitter Lists to be retweeted.

So, here are our lists – follow us or follow the lists, and keep that feedback going!!


All The Lists
http://twitter.com/big4alum/lists

Best of Accenture


Best of Capgemini
http://twitter.com/big4alum/best-of-capgemini

Best of Deloitte
http://twitter.com/big4alum/best-of-deloitte



Best of Ernst & Young
http://twitter.com/big4alum/best-of-ernst-young

Best of KPMG
http://twitter.com/big4alum/best-of-kpmg



Best of PricewaterhouseCoopers

Best of Accounting

Best of Finance

Best of Tax


Again, we’re at http://www.twitter.com/big4alum



Saturday, November 07, 2009

Top Companies in Deloitte’s 2009 Tech Fast 500 Sport Phenomenal Sales Growth



Recently, Deloitte released its 2009 Technology Fast 500 Rankings, an annual ranking of the fastest growing technology, media, telecommunications, life sciences and clean technology companies in North America.

The criterion – grow the fastest in revenue over five years. And the number 1 winner - ReachLocal, a privately-held global provider of localized Internet advertising solutions based in Woodland Hills, CA, with revenue of $147 million and a 5-year fiscal growth rate of (get this!) 146,050% percent. In 2004, ReachLocal’s revenues were just $100,000 and in 2008, its revenues had catapulted to $147 million, yes that’s in millions.

And here’s what this company does: “ReachLocal brings order to the fragmented local Internet by connecting advertisers, publishers, and creative solutions providers together on one platform. Wherever customers are online, ReachLocal helps businesses find them with the broadest reach of local digital media, a dedicated force of local Internet Marketing Consultants, and technology that continually optimizes results.”

Here are the top ten winners of this ranked list:

(Rank Company Sector Five-year Revenue Growth CEO)

1 ReachLocal Internet 146050% Zorik Gordon
www.reachlocal.com

2 Infinera Corporation Communications/Networking 86580% Jagdeep Singh
www.infinera.com

3 Affymax, Inc. Biotechnology/Pharmaceutical 54768% Arlene M. Morris
www.affymax.com

4 Hughes Communications, Inc. Communications/Networking 49988% Pradman P. Kaul
www.hughes.com

5 Entropic Communications, Inc. Semiconductor 40691% Patrick Henry
www.entropic.com

6 Onyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Biotechnology/Pharmaceutical 38769% N. Anthony Coles
www.onyx-pharm.com

7 Data Domain, Inc. Computers/Peripherals 35084% Frank Slootman
www.datadomain.com

8 Genomic Health, Inc. Biotechnology/Pharmaceutical 33716% Kimberly Popovits
www.genomichealth.com

9 Zila, Inc. Biotechnology/Pharmaceutical 27715% David R. Bethune
www.zila.com

10 Force10 Networks, Inc. Communications/Networking 24528% Henry Wasik
www.force10networks.com

Here are some interesting facts about this ranking:

The Western region of the United States has the highest concentration of ranked companies (34%), followed by the Northeast (28%), Southeast (15%), Canada (10%), Southwest (8%) and Midwest (5%).
The software sector was 38% with 189 companies, followed by communications/networking (16%), biotechnology/pharmaceuticals (13%) and Internet (9%). Comprising the balance 24% were medical equipment, scientific/technical instrumentation, computer/peripherals, semiconductors, media/entertainment and clean technology companies.

In the top 10, there were 4 biotech and pharma but no software companies. Deloitte added clean technology as a new category in 2009 and 7 companies made the list.

The average growth rate for the Fast 500 fell by 720% to 2,486% in 2009, from 3,206% in 2008. The 10-year high was recorded in 2002, when the overall average growth rate was 6,772%, the 10-year low was in 2007 with average growth of 1,823%.

To make this list, current-year revenues must exceed $5 million USD or CD, and doubled in last 5 years.

We are quite amazed by the ultra-strong growth exhibited by these Fast 500 Tech companies, clearly with the average company growing by 2,500% means that they have multiplied their sales by 2.5 times in five years. Clearly, such growth is mainly doable in tech companies, where innovative research, visionary management and new solutions can find receptive customers, either by changing the current paradigm or offering services which provide value to a growing list of customers. Also interesting to note the total absence of software companies in the top 10, is the era of Microsofts gone for ever?

Given that statistically, most small businesses fail in their first five years of starting up, these companies deserve much acclaim, and thanks to Deloitte for granting that much needed recognition.



Deloitte’s 2009 Technology Fast 500™ Ranking

Thursday, November 05, 2009

Huron Consulting Group Q3-2009 Operations Strong, Shares Zoom




Huron Consulting Group Inc. (NASDAQ: HURN) just reported its Q3-2009 results, with revenues of $172.2 million increasing 2.1% from $168.7 million in Q3-2008 and up sequentially from $165.8 million in Q2-2009. However, more importantly, Huron took a $106.0 million non-cash pretax goodwill impairment charge, about 20% of the total goodwill balance of $506.5 million as of June 30, 2009. In addition, there were restructuring and restatement charges of $15.1 million. The GAAP loss per share including the aforementioned charges was $(3.16) in Q3-2009 compared to diluted earnings per share of $0.12 in Q3 2008.

Non-GAAP adjusted diluted earnings per share was $0.59 in Q3 2009 compared to $0.86 for Q3 2008(7). This change is almost entirely due to the increase in the effective tax rate. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (“Adjusted EBITDA”), which excludes share-based compensation expense, non-cash compensation expense, restructuring charges, non-recurring expenses related to the restatement, goodwill impairment charge, and an other gain, was $38.1 million, or 22.1% of revenues for the third quarter, compared to $40.8 million, or 24.2% of revenues, in the comparable quarter last year.

Average number of full-time billable consultants totaled 1,430 for Q3-2009 compared to 1,488 for Q3-2008. Average number of full-time equivalent professionals totaled 861 for Q3 2009 compared to 947 in the same period last year.

By terms of Operating Segments comparing Q3-2009 versus Q3-2008, Health and Education Consulting revenues increased 30%, Legal Consulting revenues dropped 23%, Accounting & Financial Consulting sales fell 24%, and Corporate Consulting revenues fell 14%. Thus, the 2% increase in sales for the company covered a lot of difference in performance across segments.

Digging below the reported loss, Huron actually had some good financial nuggets in this quarter’s results. Cash from operations did increase from $44 million in Q3-2008 to $52 million in Q3-2009. And cash on the balance sheet increased from $14 million in Q3-2008 to $27 million in Q3-2009.

The accounting restatement of $106 million, from the goodwill impairment, had only a non-cash impact on financial results.

Huron indicated for full year 2009, revenues would be in an updated range of $650 million to $665 million. The Company also anticipated GAAP loss per share in a range of $(2.01) to $(1.80), non-GAAP adjusted diluted earnings per share in a range of $2.85 to $3.05, loss before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization in a range of $(13) million to $(8) million, and Adjusted EBITDA in a range of $139 million to $144 million.

These were quite good results and investors cheered, pushing the stock up 16% (HURN open $24.57 to $26.99 at 10 am) on the open, and up 10% ($25.90 at 4 pm) at the end of trading today November 5, 2009.

Why? Huron’s operations seemingly are intact. Q3-2009 revenues actually rose and operating income and adjusted EBITDA fell only slightly. The accounting restatement had only a non-cash impact on financials, and more critically, the issue was contained, measured and fully absorbed in just a few months after disclosure. Hopefully it is done.

Clients don’t seem to be abandoning Huron as was widely anticipated, if anything Health and Education clients are giving more business to Huron. Sales in the other segments did decrease, this may be due to general economic slowdown. Huron has fewer consultants than it had a year ago, but utilization has only fallen by a few percentage points. Costs are being managed in line with top line declines.

2009 outlook of revenues of $660-$665 million are almost flat to full year 2008. This is cash coming into the door paid for by clients who are purchasing Huron services. Also, full year 2009 EBITDA of $139-$144 million is higher than $122 million of EBITDA in full year 2008.

The stock is on its climb back, it fell from $45 at end of July 2009 to $12 after the goodwill announcement, but has more than doubled since that time. As we have blogged earlier, this seems to be a cloud rather than a cancer for the company, if new management sets things right for investors and clients stay, HURN could potentially look to regain its erstwhile level of stock price in the medium term.

Here’s some background on the accounting restatement right from their release:

“The Company announced on July 31, 2009 that it would restate its financial statements for the fiscal years 2006, 2007 and 2008 and the first quarter of 2009. On August 17, 2009, Huron completed the restatement. The restatement pertained to the accounting for certain acquisition-related payments received by selling shareholders of four acquired businesses that were subsequently redistributed by such selling shareholders among themselves and to other select client-serving and administrative Company employees based, in part, on continuing employment with the Company or the achievement of personal performance measures.

The selling shareholders were not prohibited from redistributing such acquisition-related payments under the terms of the purchase agreements with the Company for the acquisitions of the acquired businesses. However, under GAAP, such payments were imputed to the Company, and the portion of such payments redistributed based on performance or employment was required to be reflected as non-cash compensation expense of the Company, even though the amounts received by the selling shareholders did not differ significantly from the amounts they would have received if such portion had been distributed solely in accordance with their ownership interests. The restatement was necessary because the Company did not record such portions of the acquisition-related payments as a separate non-cash compensation expense with a corresponding increase in paid-in capital.

Based on the results of the Company’s inquiry into the acquisition-related payments to date and the previously disclosed agreement amendments with the selling shareholders, earn-out payments for periods after August 1, 2009 are accounted for as additional purchase consideration and not also as non-cash compensation expense. The Company recognized $1.2 million of additional non-cash compensation expense during the third quarter of 2009 related to the redistributed acquisition-related payments for the period from July 1 to July 31, 2009.

The restatement resulted in a reduction of approximately $56 million in net income and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (“EBITDA”) for all restated periods. However, the restatement had no effect on Huron’s total assets, total liabilities or total stockholders’ equity on an annual basis. Further, the Company did not expend additional cash with respect to the compensation charge, and the restatement had no effect on Huron’s cash or net cash flows from operations.

As a result of the significant decline in the price of the Company’s common stock following the Company’s July 31, 2009 announcement of its intention to restate its financial statements, the Company engaged in the previously announced impairment analysis with respect to the carrying value of its goodwill in connection with the preparation of the financial statements for the quarter ended September 30, 2009, and recorded a $106.0 million non-cash pretax charge for the impairment of goodwill, which was approximately 20% of the Company’s total goodwill balance of $506.5 million as of June 30, 2009. The impairment charge was recognized to reduce the carrying value of goodwill associated with the Company’s Accounting & Financial Consulting and Corporate Consulting segments. The impairment charge is non-cash in nature and does not affect the Company’s liquidity.”

Capgemini Q3-2009 Revenue Down 9%, But Confirms 7% Operating Margin for 2009



Capgemini just reported its Q3-2009 financial results with revenues of EUR 1,946 million, which was 9.0% below Q3-2008 revenues of EUR 2,098 million on constant exchange rates. On a reported basis revenues were 7.3% lower. Capgemini attributed this to a decline in the economic environment, and a sharp reduction in corporate IT spending.

In terms of segments, Consulting Services and Local Professional Services revenues fell 12.5% on average, and those activities most vulnerable to the economic cycle falling the most. Outsourcing Services provided an offsetting effect with a 2.7% decline in revenues due to the expected – and announced – fall in business under a major contract in North America.

In terms of geography, UK and Ireland revenues gained 1.5%, North America revenues fell 7.3%. Revenues in other regions fell 13.3% on average, with France posting a fall of 9.9%.

Q3-2009 bookings were EUR 1,981 million, with Outsourcing Services bookings increasing 7% over Q3-2008, in Consulting Services, Technology Services and Local Professional Services, the book-to-bill ratio remained above 1.

Capgemini provided some forecasts for Q4-2009, estimating it would drop 9% versus Q4-2008, but the company confirmed an operating margin % of around 7% for full-year 2009. Capgemini indicated that signs that activity is stabilizing and even picking up in some market segments, though benefits are not expected to filter through immediately.

Let’s break down this for some interesting conclusions:

First, the revenue decline is generally in line with Accenture’s Q4-2009 and other Big4 firms which have recently reported. Capgemini reports in Euros, so it was spared some of the negative impacts of the appreciating US dollar which hurt many of the other Big Four which report in US dollars.

Second, Outsourcing is clearly resonating with clients, and cost-conscious customers are looking to large IT companies to help them reduce their own infrastructure costs. A relatively smaller fall in Outsourcing revenues is also in line with what Accenture recently reported.

Third, bookings in the Q3-2009 were actually slightly ahead of revenue, indicating that the pipeline is not growing as fast as one would like, but certainly not shrinking.

Fourthly, Q4-2009 guidance of a 9% drop indicates that the second half of 2009 would be weaker than what Capgemini guided in its Q2-2009 earnings release, where it indicated that H2-2009 revenues would drop between 4% and 6%. The company seems to be managing costs in a tough environment and keeping expenses generally in line with the decline in top line. Operating margin in 2009 is expected to be 7% versus 8.5% achieved in full year 2008.

Finally, recent reports and chatter on Twitter indicates that Capgemini will be strongly expanding in India, and pushing its Business Information Management services. With Outsourcing strong and Kanbay hopefully fully incorporated into operations, India clearly seems to be a strong source of revenue and growth for the company in the future.

Investors seemed to be quite neutral to this announcement and the stock stayed about EUR 31 per share on Euronext, though Capgemini has retreated from its highs of around EUR 37 reached in mid October 2009.

With markets stabilizing, and reasonable growth prospects ahead, 2010 may show better results from the company.


Tuesday, October 27, 2009

All Big Four Firms Make The World’s Top 50 Most Attractive Employers List

We have blogged earlier about Universum, the employer branding company, particularly on their MBA and undergraduate surveys of top employers. The Big Four firms, Deloitte, Ernst & Young, KPMG, PricewaterhouseCoopers and Accenture typically make the top ranks in their surveys.

Now they have come up with the world’s Top 50 most attractive employers, their first global index of employer attractiveness which highlights the world’s most powerful employer brands, those companies that excel in talent attraction and retention.

To come up with these results, nearly 120,000 students at top academic institutions in US, Japan, China, Germany, France, UK, Italy, Russia, Spain, Canada and India chose their ideal companies to work for.

And the Big Four firms are again on the very top of this list. Against some very tough competition and some very tough critics (students!) all the firms made the Top 10 Global top 50 business list, in august company of Google, Goldman Sachs, McKinsey and Microsoft. Accenture was just a tad behind at rank 23.

Global Top 50 Business

Company Ranking 2009

Google 1
PricewaterhouseCoopers 2
Microsoft 3
Goldman Sachs 4
Ernst & Young 5
Procter & Gamble 6
J.P. Morgan 7
KPMG 8
McKinsey & Company 9
Deloitte 10

Accenture 23

Interestingly, Universum also put together a global top 50 engineering company list, and the Big Four firms also make good rankings on that list as well, again aside top companies such as IBM, Intel, BMW and General Electric. In this list, Accenture was the first of the Big Four at rank 20, with KPMG making the last of the lot at rank 47. Big Four firms are not typically known for engineering, so we are certainly surprised at this. Perhaps the definition is broader than just hardcore engineering, in which case, the Big Four firms do offer services in hardware, software, outsourcing, system design, ERP, social media and disciplines related to business information technology.

Global Top 50 Engineering

Company Ranking 2009
Google 1
Microsoft 2
IBM 3
BMW 4
Intel 5

Accenture 20
Deloitte 29
Ernst & Young 33
PricewaterhouseCoopers 37
KPMG 47

In any case, Big Four professionals can feel quite proud of this ranking, and alumni can use this in their cocktail conversations!

Big Four Firms Dominate UK’s Large Cap Market, Is Big Three Possible?




The Financial Reporting Council (FRC), the UK’s independent regulator responsible for promoting confidence in corporate reporting and governance just published its Fourth Progress Report on the implementation of the MPG recommendations on Promoting Choice in the UK Audit Market.

While the report generally deals with progress on a number of FRC’s key strategic initiatives, there is a very interesting analysis on the concentration of the auditing market in the UK which is dominated by the Big Four firms, Deloitte, Ernst & Young, KPMG and PricewaterhouseCoopers.

Here is the summary conclusion from the report, “Appendix 2 shows changes in market concentration from 2006 to August 2009. Since that date the market has see a slight increase in the number of FTSE 350 companies with non‐Big Four auditors, although looking at the latest figures compared with those in February 2009, it is possible that this trend may now have stalled. Subsequent to August 2009, the FRC is aware of at least one FTSE 350 company which has changed from a non‐Big Four auditor to a Big Four firm. Non‐Big Four firms remain strong in AIM and to a lesser extent in the FTSE Small Cap and Fledgling indices.”

This Appendix has a lot of information on market concentration statistics. Essentially it looks at public companies represented in the four key UK indices (FTSE 100, FTSE 250, FTSE Small Cap and AIM) and shows the percentage of public companies in each index audited either by a Big Four or non Big Four firm. The time period spans November 2006 to August 2009.

There are some startling findings and interesting conclusions from this study.

In the FTSE 100 in August 2009, PwC audited 41% of public companies, KPMG audited 25%, Deloitte audited 21%, E&Y audited 15% and non-Big Four audited 1%. In the FTSE 100 in November 2006, PwC audited 42% of public companies, KPMG audited 22%, Deloitte audited 18%, E&Y audited 17% and non-Big Four audited 0%.

In this large capitalization segment, it is clear that the Big Four firms clearly dominate this market. Non Big Four firms have a negligible share of this market. Yes, that’s a measly 1%. It is certainly up from 0% a few years ago, but nothing to write home about. It also appears that KPMG and Deloitte took share from other two Big Four firms, this could be due to the large size of KPMG UK and KPMG Europe; and Deloitte’s increasing share of the Big Four pie.



In the FTSE 250 in August 2009, PwC audited 28% of public companies, KPMG audited 21%, Deloitte audited 26%, E&Y audited 20% and non-Big Four audited 6%. In the FTSE 250 in November 2006, PwC audited 31% of public companies, KPMG audited 23%, Deloitte audited 24%, E&Y audited 19% and non-Big Four audited 3%.

In this larger set of public companies, while the Big Four firms have a majority share, non Big Four firms have a reasonable share which has doubled in recent years. PwC’s share loss is noticeable over this period


In the FTSE Small Cap in August 2009, PwC audited 22% of public companies, KPMG audited 21%, Deloitte audited 19%, E&Y audited 18% and non-Big Four audited 20%. In the FTSE Small Cap in November 2006, PwC audited 23% of public companies, KPMG audited 20%, Deloitte audited 18%, E&Y audited 20% and non-Big Four audited 19%.

In these smaller sized companies, it is clear that while the Big Four firms have a four-fifths of the market but the non Big Four firms also enjoy a 20% share.


In the AIM in August 2009, PwC audited 11% of public companies, KPMG audited 15%, Deloitte audited 11%, E&Y audited 8% and non-Big Four audited 55%. In the AIM in November 2006, PwC audited 10% of public companies, KPMG audited 13%, Deloitte audited 10%, E&Y audited 7% and non-Big Four audited 60%.

In the alternative market, the Big Four firms actually are in a minority position with the non Big Four firms having a majority share, though this share has decreased by a substantial 5% over the last few years.


Overall, it is evident that large public companies overwhelmingly choose Big Four firms as their auditors. The high concentration in this sub-segment clearly limits choice for multinational companies which may require either deep auditing expertise or substantial presence in countries all over the world, which clearly rules out smaller firms, leaving the field completely to the larger behemoths.

As we travel down into the smaller capitalization companies, non-Big Four firms have increasing share, either since the Big Four firms do not devote resources to penetrate this segment or the non Big Four firms offer more customized services to smaller clients who may not need the sophistication or breadth of a large public accounting firm. This stands to reason too. The loss of share of non-Big Four firms in AIM is troubling.

The demise of Andersen has significantly concentrated market power in just four firms. The exit of any one of these firms, if at all conceivable, can have a significant impairing impact on choice for clients. The choice is narrow already. Conflicts between audit, tax and consulting rules out certain choices for public auditors. And if that pool were to shrink, choice would completely disappear.

We have argued in our earlier blog posts that the reduction of the Big Four to Big Three would have serious financial impacts on the audit and tax industry, on financial markets and on investors in all countries all across the world. The structure in other countries may not be exactly as the UK, but quite similar, with Big Four firms dominating the upper client echelon. Financial regulators and market participants would at all costs avoid the failure or exit of any player or combination of players. We think No Deloitte & Young, No KPMGPwC, No EYPwC or any other alphabet soup. Consider that the KPMG was penalized $450 million in the US, but allowed to continue as a firm after paying that fine. The aftermath is too difficult, we believe, to live with.

While the ultimate fear of an exit may be unfounded, Paul Boyle, Chief Executive of the FRC, did say, “The FRC remains concerned about the significant uncertainty and cost which could arise in the event that one or more of the Big Four audit firms left the market. Regardless of the actions taken by market participants, this risk is likely to remain significant in the medium to long term. It remains to be seen whether market-led actions will prove to be sufficient to reduce this risk to an acceptable level.”

Clearly this is a concern for governmental regulators, and though Mr. Boyle claims the risk is “significant”, we would think that the possibility of occurrence is very small. The Big Four will continue to the Big Four for a long time to come. We really like our site name as it is!!




What do you think about exit, demise or combinations? Possible? Probable? Allowable? ???

Monday, October 26, 2009

Deloitte Revenues Grow 1% Local Currency, Now Just Behind PricewaterhouseCoopers



 

 
Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, the global firm, just came out with its fiscal 2009 revenues for the year ending May 31, 2009. 2009 full year global revenue was US$26.1 billion, an actual increase in local currency terms of 1%, but a drop of 4.9% in US dollar terms from 2008. The tough economic climate and appreciating US dollar were the two main factors in 2009 which impacted Deloitte as much as it did other Big Four firms. However, a 1% growth in local currency bested both


E&Y (0.2% increase in local currency http://bigfouralumni.blogspot.com/2009/09/ernst-young-external-challenges-drive.html) and


PwC (0.2% increase in local currency http://bigfouralumni.blogspot.com/2009/10/pwc-fy-2009-revenues-rise-modestly-from.html). KPMG is yet to report its 2009 results, as its year ends in September 30, 2009.


 
Despite this remarkable performance, Deloitte was unable to beat PwC to be the largest Big Four firm on the planet. Its 2009 revenues of $26.1 billion were behind PwC’s 2009 revenues of $26.2 billion by only $100 million or 0.4%. We indicated in our earlier post that a 4.5% decrease in Deloitte’s revenues in US$ terms would make it the largest among the Big4 firms. But this is only a statistical miss. By showing remarkable performance in 2009, arguably one of the toughest environments in recent memory, Deloitte has shown that it is a strong contender for the leadership position.

 
“Achieving positive growth in this exceptionally difficult economic environment was the result of close attention to the needs of clients and a strong commitment to professional excellence by our member firm professionals. Despite the tough economy, we remain focused on our vision to be the standard of excellence and will continue to invest in pursuit of this vision,” said Jim Quigley, CEO of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

 
By service line, Consulting was the fastest grower at 7.3% in local currency terms. In US$ terms, Consulting revenue grew 2% from $6.3 billion in 2008 to $6.5 billion in 2009. Audit was relatively flat against 2008 in local currency terms. In US$ terms, Audit shrank by 6.4% from $12.7 billion to $11.9 billion. Tax was also relatively flat against 2008 in local currency terms. In US$ terms, Tax revenues decreased by 5.5% from $6.0 billion to $5.7 billion. Financial Advisory Services revenue fell 6.1% in local currency terms, but in US$ terms, fell by 13.8% from $2.4 billion in 2008 to $2.0 billion in 2009, driven by lower M&A activity.

 
In terms of geography, Americas dropped 3.7% in US$ terms from $12.9 billion in 2008 to $12.5 billion in 2009. Europe, Middle East and Africa also dropped 9.0% in US$ terms from $11.3 billion in 2008 to $10.2 billion in 2009. Asia Pacific grew 4.7% in US$ terms from $3.2 billion in 2008 to $3.4 billion in 2009.

 
The Asia Pacific region had local currency growth of 7.6% and was the fastest-growing region for the fifth consecutive year. India grew 29.9%, Australia grew 11.5% and Japan grew 11.3% in local currency terms. Europe, Middle East, and Africa region (EMEA) grew 2% but Americas declined 1.3% in local currency. Africa, the Middle East, and Latin America and the Caribbean posted high growth of 21.3%, 15.6% and 13.7% respectively, in local currency.

 
Deloitte said that its aggregate compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) was 9.4 percent from 2005-2009 and 14.7 percent from 2005-2008, 2009 bringing an abrupt stop to a remarkable growth rate.

 
Employment at Deloitte was a bright spot, during 2009, the firm hired more than 40,000 professionals. The workforce now stands at 168,651 people globally, representing a 4.5% (7,351) increase from 161,300 in 2008. Assuming 32,649 left the firm for the net to increase, the attrition rate comes out to be 20% in 2009 (32,649/161,300).

 
Some other interesting factoids in the Deloitte report:

 
Over 75,000 Deloitte professionals are on LinkedIn




The Deloitte Global Facebook page has 11,348 fans





The Deloitte Global Twitter feed has 2,169 followers





  • A typical Deloitte professional flew 14,220 kilometers in 2009
  • Over 5,300 jobs were posted on any given day in 2009 on Global career websites
  • 2,322 average number of job applications received any given day
  • 821 average number of student applications received any given day

 
Here are our observations and analysis on this report:

 
  • First, this report was quite late this year. Deloitte’s year ended May 31, 2009, which is a good 4.5 months ago. Deloitte reported much earlier in 2008, and was the first to report. Why the delay? Was it waiting for PwC results??
  • Second, while near flat growth in local currency terms and decline in US$ terms was expected, nonetheless performance was quite compelling, and Deloitte has zoomed up to near PwC level, missing leadership (intentionally or unintentionally) by 0.4%. This sets up an interesting rivalry for 2010, with both firms having good chance to establish leadership. PwC’s position for the first time ever, seems a bit shaky.
  • Third, emerging markets show strong growth despite tough economic conditions, validating their continuing good economic story and Deloitte’s ability to be part of that increase. Developing markets in Europe and Americas expectedly declined.
  • Fourth, we applaud Deloitte’s reporting of Social Media metric, the first Big Four firm to do so. By openly declaring that more than 75,000 of its professionals are on LinkedIn, this has effectively removed the stigma of placing your profile on the world’s largest professional network. You are not looking for another job when you are on LinkedIn, you are enhancing your network. Going public with this is commendable. We invite each and every of those 75,000 Deloitte professionals to join other Big Four professionals and alumni on our Big Four Firms Alumni and Professionals group to enhance their network. Deloitte has also a strong fan base on Facebook and a nice Twitter following. We give a hearty Thumbs Up to Deloitte for being open and proud of their social media presence.

 

 
In summary, though delayed, Deloitte put up some excellent numbers, stayed a smidgeon behind PwC in revenue, and took the leadership in social media reporting.

 
KPMG is the last to report in early November, and we will then offer our 2009 Big Four Financial Performance Analysis. See our 2008 Big Four firm analysis at http://bigfouralumni.blogspot.com/2009/01/big-four-firms-combined-revenues-top.html




 
What do you think of this? Look forward to comments both from Deloitte professionals, alumni and others.

 

 

Saturday, October 24, 2009

Our Twitter Feed Ranked as Top Five for Accounting Jobs by Dow Jones WSJ




We were recently, and unexpectedly, surprised by our ranking by the well respected FINS.com as one of the “The Top Five Twitter Feeds for Job Hunters in Accounting”. We are thankful to FINS for recognizing our Twitter and web efforts towards the Big Four firms alumni community.

This is what FINS said about us, and we quote verbatim, “2. @Big4Alum: This juicy feed is run by the alumni group behind Big4.com, a blog that caters to the interests of former employees of Accenture, Andersen, Bearing Point, Deloitte, Ernst & Young, CapGemini, KPMG and PricewaterhouseCoopers. Even for those who haven't had the privilege of working at one of these accounting giants, it's well worth reading. Particularly job seekers, who need to be up on the doings of the big boys. Tweets chronicle the latest job appointments, openings and other happenings, such as a discussion on CNBC on accounting's role in the financial crisis between Jim Turley, global chairman of Ernst & Young, and Bob Moritz, U.S. chairman of PricewaterhouseCoopers.”

Here is the link:

http://www.fins.com/Finance/Articles/SB125605830139196837/The-Top-Five-Twitter-Feeds-for-Job-Hunters-in-Accounting?Type=0&idx=10


The source of this ranking (Dow Jones / WSJ) indeed gives it the most validity. Here is what FINS is:

FINS is a new venture from Dow Jones, publisher of The Wall Street Journal. In other words, we know people who know people – particularly finance insiders, top recruiters and industry experts who have shared their secrets and inside information with us. We understand that it's about more than just a job; it's about your career. So we created FINS to help guide you through the finance job market and propel your career


All the jobs posted on our Twitter feed are real jobs that are posted by real recruiters. In other words, there are actual humans coming to our site and posting jobs which show up on Twitter. No bots. We encourage all our Twitter followers to apply to these jobs, or retweet them so other Big four alumni who are looking can benefit.

Thursday, October 15, 2009

Asia Pacific Uber Rich Suffer A Lot In 2008, But Roar Back Quickly




We have blogged earlier about the fascinating results of the 2008 Capgemini Merrill Lynch Global Wealth report, where high net worth individuals (HNWIs – net assets greater than US$1 million) and ultra-high net worth individuals (Ultra HNWIs – net assets greater than US$30 million), the uber-rich of the world, lost a cool $8 trillion of wealth from 2007 to 2008.

Recently, Capgemini released its 4th annual Asia Pacific report focused on this specific region. And this is interesting in the sense in that Asia Pacific is the new wealth creation hotspot of the world, and it appears millionaires and billionaires are being crafted here almost every week.

The findings in the Asia Pacific region are equally noteworthy. The ultra rich in the region were not immune from global collapse in markets and demand. Just from 2007 to 2008, the Asia Pacific population of HNWIs fell 14.2% to 2.4 million in 2008 and their combined wealth dropped a huge 22.3% to US$7.4 trillion. Correspondingly, the number of ultra-HNWIs fell 29.6% to 14,300 and their total wealth shrank 35.1%.

But all is not bad news in the region. While there has been serious declines in the past, the numbers of Asia Pacific’s HNWIs and their wealth is expected to increase as market conditions improve (at a robust annual rate of 8.8% till 2018), as the region roars back first out from the global slowdown.


China and India are likely to lead HNWI growth in Asia Pacific. Further, Capgemini makes a bold prediction: the Asia Pacific region is poised to surpass North America and Europe to have the highest levels of wealth in the world.


At this point in time however, Japan and China have a large (72%) percentage of the Asia Pacific HNWI population and 66% of its wealth, with both figures up from 2007.

In Japan, the number of HNWIs fell 9.9% from 2007 to 2008 to 1.37 million in 2008 and their wealth dropped 16.7% to US$3.2 trillion, a smaller drop than other markets.

In China, despite steep market capitalization losses, its HNWIs avoided the larger losses seen in other markets due to the closed nature of its markets and robust macroeconomic growth. The number of HNWIs in China fell 11.8% from 2007 to 2008 to 364,000 in 2008 and their combined wealth dropped 20.7% to US$1.7 trillion. But note this: China’s HNWI population now exceeds that of the United Kingdom to be the fourth-largest in the world.

In India, the HNWI population fell 31.6% from 2007 to 2008 to 84,000.

In Hong Kong, the HNWI population had the biggest percentage decline in the world, falling 61.3% to 37,000.

Being the conservative lot that they are, Asia Pacific HNWIs increased their allocations to safer and simpler investments in 2008 in a move to preserve wealth, increasing their cash positions to 29% from 25% in 2007. By the end of 2008, Asia Pacific HNWIs had 23% of their wealth in equities, down 3% from 2007. In Australia, HNWIs cut back their allocations to the asset class to 25% from 38%, while Hong Kong HNWIs scaled back their exposure to 21% from 33%.

Interestingly, the rich people in Asia Pacific put their money where they lived: investments in home-region and domestic markets rose to 67% from 53%, as global market uncertainty deterred Asia Pacific HNWIs from investing in other regions.

All this is interesting stuff. But it has key consequences for equity markets, GDP and wealth management. These uber rich are the world’s savviest investors and move capital to where it can earn the highest risk-adjusted returns. Further, they invest consistently in hard and intellectual assets to protect and preserve their wealth.


Capgemini’s findings that the Asia Pacific region will likely become home to the largest population of HNWIs is a key fact to pause and consider. Wealth is likely to be created at the fastest pace in Asia over the next ten years as emerging economies will surpass the developed world in assets, technology, standard of living and hungry customers. We may have to turn upside down the famous dictum to given to ambitious young professionals.

If you really want to be rich, then the new mantra for the 21st century may well be: Go East, Young Man!!


Monday, October 12, 2009

PwC FY 2009 Revenues Rise Modestly From FY 2008 Despite Tough Environment



PricewaterhouseCoopers just released its FY 2009 global revenues for the year ending June 30, 2009, which came in at US$26.2 billion, a 7.1% decline from the US$28.2 billion in FY 2008 in US dollar terms. However, on local currency terms FY 2009 revenues were actually higher than FY 2008 by a modest 0.2%. These results were clearly impacted by two large macro factors. The global economic crisis put a sudden halt to the multi-year annual growth in revenues as clients withheld spending on professional services. The other impact was FX, as the appreciating dollar over the reporting period resulted in lower US dollars for each unit of local currency leading to a reduction in revenue on US dollar terms from FY 2008 to FY 2009.

In terms of service lines, Assurance grew 2.0% in local currency terms to US$13.1 billion, a remarkable achievement, since it was the only service line to do so. But in terms of US$, revenues actually fell by 4.8% (the press release says positive 4.8%, which seems to be an error). PwC attributed this to “market-leading strength of the business and its continued focus on improved customer service and very competitive pricing.”

Advisory services fell by 2.9% in local currency terms to US$6.1 billion, but fell a whopping 11.4% in US$ terms. This service line was the hardest hit by the global slowdown, as M&A and IPOs dried up and private equity firms took their foot off the pedals. Bankrupcty and restructuring work provided some offset.

Tax services fell by 0.3% in local currency terms to US$6.9 billion, but fell a 7.5% in US$ terms. Tax was impacted by the worldwide decline in corporate deals and restructuring work.

In terms of geographies, Asia revenues rose 5.4% to $2.7 billion in local currency terms and also rising 1.0% in US$ terms. Revenues in the smaller regions of Middle East & Africa, South & Central America and Australasia & Pacific also rose strongly in local currency terms, showing strong growth in emerging markets. In the developed world, revenues in both Europe and North America declined, and since these account for 80% of total PwC revenues, they essentially drove the results for the firm. Revenue growth was high in a number of PwC member firms around the world, with particularly good results in Japan, Russia, Spain, Sweden and Canada.

One bright spot was hiring, where, “….the PwC network also hired about 30,000 new people and increased its total workforce to more than 163,000 demonstrating a commitment to attracting the right people to serve clients around the world." Last year, PwC reported total workforce of 156,000, so the net increase of 7,000 staff would have meant a gross reduction of personnel of 26,000 leading to an around 15% attrition rate, composed of voluntary and involuntary departures.

"The past 12 months have been challenging for our network, with most PwC member firms facing tough economic conditions. While PwC's results for FY 2009 are not as good as we would have liked, they have held up well in the circumstances," said PwC Global Chairman Dennis M. Nally. "In addition the combination of first rate customer service and very competitive pricing has allowed us to increase our market share in many of our markets around the world.

PricewaterhouseCoopers is the second firm to report its FY 2009 results after Ernst & Young (Deloitte, the first to report in 2008 is conspicuously behind in reporting their performance this year), and the final numbers and commentary are not dissimilar to Ernst & Young.

On the positive side, achieving a small increase in local currency terms in what is probably the toughest financial environment in years is a remarkable success. This is evidence of PwC’s global breadth and depth and ability to continue to provide professional services to clients and fully earning each dollar from their clients. The US dollar’s appreciation does have a negative impact on year over year revenues, but this is clearly outside the firm’s control.

Growth in Assurance services and in emerging markets of Asia and Africa show that these regions continue to advance in both economic and financial terms and PwC’s ability to fully tap into this astounding growth. Fall off in developed economies were expected, but it is not as bad as it could have been, and certainly compared to other companies and firms around the world.

As expected, FY 2009 brings to a sudden halt the run of double-digit % growth in revenues that all the Big Four firms have enjoyed over the last five years. Next year, as the economies and capital markets rebound and the dollar depreciates, we would actually expect better financial performance in FY 2010.

Another big question we posed last year was Deloitte’s surprising push toward leadership of the Big Four firms. Last year, Deloitte posted revenues of US$27.4 billion, only $0.8 billion behind PricewaterhouseCoopers of $28.2 billion. This year, PwC’s revenues have fallen 7.1% to $26.2 billion. If Deloitte’s revenue fall only by 4%, its FY 2009 revenues could exceed $26.2 billion, making it the largest Big Four firm on the planet. It seems a tough task, though not impossible based on where the growth is coming from, we’ll just to wait for Deloitte’s results.

Friday, October 09, 2009

Deloitte Finds Business Tribalization Gathering Momemtum, Still Ways To Go



Tribalization of Business?

Really??!! Are we going a few hundred years back in time?

It really appears so. Social media is here to stay and becoming more mainstream each day, and smart businesses better adjust to this new reality.

Market segments are now tribes. Channels are now networks. Advertising is now viral transmission. Early adopters are primal influencers. And so on.

Deloitte asks, “Why social software and communities matter to business?”, and answers:
Humans are hard-wired to cooperate and share opinions
Communities can have an “amplifier effect” on marketing, customer support and other corporate functions
The positive impact of effective communities can be game-changing

While much of this is common sense, the internet and social media sites have truly provided the modern world to interconnect in a way that has never been possible in human existence, so in a sense this is a new avenue for businesses to rethink strategies and reach customers in an increasingly flat world.

In their new 2009 Tribalization of Business Study, Deloitte shows that while progressing well, organizations have not yet fully tapped social media’s total potential

Here are the key findings of this research:

There is continued maturation of the enterprise’s use of communities and social media. People are now looking not only at the very visible number of active users and their level of participation, but also at non-active users or “lurkers” – people who observe the community, but don’t participate in the discussion. A full third are analyzing data on how these lurkers derive value from the community and a fifth have set up formal “ambassador” programs to attract lurkers. While these can be easily fixed by partnering and new management practices, only a few companies are taking the steps necessary to overcome these challenges.

While 58% evaluated partnering with existing communities, complementary vendors or end users when developing their community, 55% of the companies that evaluated a partnership did not actually partner. There appear to be significant gaps between community goals (such as generating word of mouth, customer loyalty and brand awareness) and how success is being measured.

There is a much longer flipbook, and here are some interesting findings that we were able to unearth:

Only 16% of the communities had more than 10,000 members
Only 26% of the communities were more than 1 to 3 years old
Only 45% will increase their investment in next 12 months as in the last 12 months
Only 32% are actively capturing data on “lurkers”
80% don’t have a formal ambassador program
Only 6% have more than 6 people managing their communities
36% say that the Marketing department manages their communities
34% say that the biggest obstacle is getting people to engage and communicate
37% say that number of active users is the best way to measure success
33% say that how often people comment is the best way to measure success

And Deloitte ends with the usual consultant-ese strategic conclusions:

To realize the full benefit of social media and online communities, it is imperative that business leaders move beyond viewing them as “bolt-ons” to their companies
Companies should consider integrating the new information flows associated with communities with those information flows that already exist within their companies
To be able to extract true business value from communities, new management strategies and practices will be critical, including redefining the scope and role of alliances as well as the overall boundaries of corporations

In simpler language - bring social media into the center of the company, connect the external environment to the internal environment, and rethink the way you can create value.

Social media is just getting started, and this study is a typical depiction of a large movement in its early stages - paradigms are being questioned, new business practices are being implemented, ROIs are getting examined, old ways of measurements continue and investments are minimal.

But as social media gathers momentum, both with individuals and eventually with businesses who serve those individuals, we should see some of these trends and percentages change with it. Meanwhile, Deloitte offers strategic consulting assistance for businesses who want to move faster on this path!

SEC’s Strategic Plan Seen to Support IFRS Transition and PCAOB



The Securities and Exchange Commission just released its 2010-2015 Strategic Plan with some broad objectives to focus on securities compliance fostering and enforcement. The US SEC has been under considerable attack since it missed one of the world’s largest $60 billion Ponzi schemes operated by Bernard Madoff. Apparently, there were five particular instances over the years where the SEC could have caught Madoff had they pursued either their own processes or followed through on tips provided to them. Refocusing on enforcement is clearly goal number one.

In addition, the SEC has a key role to play in the oversight of the Financial Accounting and Standards Board (FASB) and the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (PCAOB), the SEC’s directions sets the tone for the activities of these two boards which will ultimately have a large impact on US accounting standards and regulations.

Here are their four strategic goals, which look quite on point and much needed for the institution to continue to perform its duty to investors and the American people:

Strategic Goal 1: Foster and enforce compliance with the federal securities laws

Strategic Goal 2: Establish an effective regulatory environment

Strategic Goal 3: Facilitate access to the information investors need to make informed investment decisions

Strategic Goal 4: Enhance the Commission’s performance through effective alignment and management of human, information, and financial capital

In particular, Strategic Goal 2 and outcome 1 have relevance to the Accounting profession and the Big4 firms. In overseeing both the FASB and the PCAOB, the SEC’s conduct has broad implications on accounting standards, disclosures, reporting, firm processes and overall audits.

Outcome 2.1: The SEC establishes and maintains a regulatory environment that promotes high-quality disclosure, financial reporting, and governance, and prevents abusive practices by registrants, financial intermediaries, and other market participants.

Promote high-quality accounting standards: The SEC will continue to promote the establishment of high-quality accounting standards by independent standard setters in order to meet the needs of investors.

For example:




• In overseeing the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB), the SEC will strengthen and support the FASB’s independence and maintain the focus of financial reporting on the needs of investors, consistent with the recommendations set forth by the SEC Advisory Committee on Improvements to Financial Reporting;



• The SEC will support FASB’s efforts to improve financial reporting, including recent standard-setting initiatives such as off-balance sheet accounting and accounting for financial instruments; and

• Due to the increasingly global nature of the capital markets, the agency will promote high-quality financial reporting worldwide through, among other things, support for a single set of high-quality global accounting standards and promotion of the ongoing convergence initiatives between the FASB and the International Accounting Standards Board.




Foster high-quality audits through the oversight of the accounting profession: The SEC will continue to oversee the PCAOB and its regulation of the accounting profession through the PCAOB’s inspection and disciplinary programs. The SEC also will work closely with the PCAOB on the promulgation and interpretation of auditing standards to address current issues in the capital markets.



The third point in the FASB says that the SEC supports the IFRS conversion, having recently put the timetable back on its front burner agenda, and agreed to reconsider the timeline and activities for the conversion of US GAAP to the international IFRS. Just today, James Turley said that this standardization was absolutely essential for US capital markets and investment analysis.

The point on PCAOB is also important, in that the SEC will and may need to refocus the PCAOB to “address current issues in the capital markets”, which brings in the need to adapt current circumstances it the global financial systems, where auditing of complex financial products will need to be better scrutinized by public accounting firms and their processes vetted with more rigor.

We believe that while this is only a small part of the SEC’s very broad and extremely crucial role in regulating US capital markets, their direction for accounting standards seems appropriate.

The SEC does welcome comments on its strategic plan and those of our readers who are more involved with how it impacts them can send thoughts to strategicplan@sec.gov

Wednesday, October 07, 2009

IPO Activity Rises in Q3-2009, China Leads in Numbers and Deal Value

Ernst & Young just released its eagerly awaited Global IPO report, an analysis which is very topical today to validate the recovery seen in capital markets throughout the world. Results from this surveys in recent quarters have been quite glum, as companies and investors stayed away from initial public offerings. But this latest Q3-2009 report appears to have a much more positive spin, in line with other concurrent financial and Big4 surveys which indicate that things may finally be turning around towards better times.



The Q3-2009 IPO market was US$37.8 billion, the highest amount since Q2-2008 and a whopping 292% increase over the previous quarter of Q2-2009. The 149 IPOs were the highest quarterly total in 2009. But the more interesting fact this quarter relates to geography, with 7 of the top 10 largest IPOs being from Chinese companies, typically choosing the Shanghai or Hong Kong exchanges to list their stock. The largest IPO in the quarter and the year so far was China State Construction Engineering Corp, which listed in Shanghai in July 2009 at US$7.3billion.



Another statistic which proves the dominance of China on the world IPO market, 63% of the total IPO value ($23.8 billion) was for 62 Chinese companies, followed by US with total value of $3.2b or 8.4% of global capital raised and India with total value of $2.6b or 7.2% of global capital raised.



There was not much news from Europe, there were no IPOs in Germany and Italy, one each for France and Spain, and 2 in the UK. Total Europe value was US$189.2million or 0.5% of the Q3-2009 total. In Q3-2005, 31% of total listings came from Europe, and this shows the precipitous decline in IPO from the Continent, which is somewhat behind Asia and the US in recovering and spurring listings of private companies.



Ernst & Young expects Q4-2009 to be another strong quarter for the IPO market in Asia; the absence of a rapid rebound in Europe; and a cautious but substantive improvement in IPO sentiment in the US as risk appetite returns.



In another indicator of better health, the number of companies that have withdrawn their filings or postponed their IPOs, which rose 62%, to 120, last year, has also decreased.



Despite the flurry of recent IPOs from China to list on the Hong Kong markets, investors have been less than receptive to their debuts. Recent IPOs like Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd., China Lilang Ltd. and China South City Holdings Ltd. Have all declined in price from their offer price, raising investors’ concern the market’s appetite for IPOs may be waning. This is completely different from the investor frenzied appetite for any IPOs prior to 2007, where even mediocre companies opened higher and climbed rapidly from their initial listing prices. Only the recent debut on October 6th 2009 of China Resources Cement Holdings Ltd. closed at its offer price, offsetting declines of as much as 17% by 5 other Hong Kong IPOs in September 2009.



Clearly quality has trumped quantity, showing that investors are savvy, demanding and quite tough with companies which do not meet their expectations, despite the paucity of new offerings. While E&Y only reports the IPOs which go to market, the survey doesn’t seem to look at post-IPO stock performance, which is equally a good indicator on the underlying health of these companies, and their survey would be much benefited by including such data to get a complete picture.



Nonetheless, that companies, underwriters and investment banks are even believing that IPOs are possible signals a key change in investor psychology, and recent success like Verisk, A123 and others signify that companies which provide good value will get the investor attention they deserve.



We will look at the Q4-2009 Global IPO report, which undoubtedly, will show that both the numbers and the deal value have increased strongly from previous quarters.

Thursday, October 01, 2009

Accenture Q4-2009 In Line, But Sober Outlook Below Investor Expectations




Accenture just reported its fourth quarter of 2009 and full year of 2009 results at 4 pm on October 1, 2009. We have summarized for you the highlights of these results:

Fourth Quarter 2009
Net revenues of $5.15 billion (versus $5.14 Wall Street expectations) a 14% decrease in U.S. dollars and 7% in local currency. EPS $0.39 plus $0.24 restructuring charge for operating EPS of $0.63 (versus $0.63 Wall Street expectations) compared with $0.67 in Q4-2008. New bookings were $5.54 billion. Operating income was $420 million, and operating margin was 8.2%. Absent the restructuring charge, operating income was $672 million and operating margin was 13.1%, the same level as 2008. Restructuring charge was $253 million. Free cash flow, defined as operating cash flow net of property and equipment additions, was $971 million, an increase of $27 million over Q4-2008. Accenture’s total cash balance at Aug. 31, 2009 was $4.54 billion, compared with $3.60 billion at Aug. 31, 2008 and $4.00 billion at May 31, 2009.


Full Year 2009
Net revenues of $21.58 billion (versus $21.58 Wall Street expectations), a 8% decrease in U.S. dollars and flat in local currency. EPS of $2.44 plus $0.24 impact from the restructuring charge for total of $2.68 (versus $2.68 Wall Street expectations) compared with $2.65 in fiscal 2008. New bookings were $23.90 billion. Operating income was $2.64 billion, and operating margin was 12.3%. Absent the restructuring charge, annual operating income was $2.90 billion and annual operating margin was 13.4%.

Net Revenues by Operating Group
Communications & High Tech: $4,831 million, compared with $5,450 million for fiscal 2008, a decrease of 11 percent in U.S. dollars and 4 percent in local currency.

Financial Services: $4,323 million, compared with $5,005 million for fiscal 2008, a decrease of 14 percent in U.S. dollars and 6 percent in local currency.

Products: $5,530 million, compared with $6,069 million for fiscal 2008, a decrease of 9 percent in U.S. dollars and 1 percent in local currency.

Public Service: $2,984 million, compared with $2,871 million for fiscal 2008, an increase of 4 percent in U.S. dollars and 11 percent in local currency.

Resources: $3,880 million, compared with $3,963 million for fiscal 2008, a decrease of 2 percent in U.S. dollars and an increase of 8 percent in local currency.

Net Revenues by Geographic Region
Americas: $9,403 million, compared with $9,726 million for fiscal 2008, a decrease of 3 percent in U.S. dollars and flat in local currency.

Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA): $9,904 million, compared with $11,546 million for fiscal 2008, a decrease of 14 percent in U.S. dollars and 2 percent in local currency.

Asia Pacific: $2,270 million, compared with $2,115 million for fiscal 2008, an increase of 7 percent in U.S. dollars and 12 percent in local currency.


Accenture set the annual cash dividend at $0.75 per share, an increase of $0.25 per share, or 50 percent, over its previous annual dividend, paid semi-annually rather than annually starting Q3-2010. The Board also approved $4.0 billion in additional share repurchase authority.


Outlook for Q1-2010 Net revenues in the range of $5.3 billion to $5.5 billion, which assumes a foreign-exchange impact of 0 percent compared with the first quarter of fiscal 2009.

Fiscal Year 2010 Net revenue growth to be in the range of negative 3% to positive 1% in local currency. Diluted EPS to be in the range of $2.64 to $2.72, with operating margin to be 13.4 percent. Operating cash flow to be $2.39 billion to $2.59 billion; property and equipment additions to be $290 million; and free cash flow to be in the range of $2.1 billion to $2.3 billion. The annual effective tax rate is expected to be in the range of 30 percent to 32 percent. New bookings in the range of $23 billion to $26 billion.

Clearly the appreciating US dollar this quarter against previous 2008 quarter had a lot to do with the large revenue decrease % in US dollar terms. Nonetheless, these fourth quarter results were in line with Wall Street expectations, with revenue being just a bit ahead of analyst consensus.

The outlook for 2010 fiscal year is more sobering. Company’s revenue range of $20.93 to $21.80 billion is less than current Wall Street expectations of $21.99 billion; and the company’s EPS range of $2.64 to $2.72 is below Wall Street current expectations of $2.77. And this is what appears to be driving the stock price lower now $35.61 or $1.66 or 5% below in after hours trading.

Accenture appears to have been fairly immune to the economic crisis in 2009, posting 2009 results that were slightly better than 2008. But this outlook says that 2010 will be flat to 2009, and the growth that being expected on both top and bottom lines is not going to be there. Accenture’s announcement of increased dividends and share repurchases is yet another sign that the company is returning capital to shareholders and signaling lack of investment opportunities.

Accenture is a strong company and its cash hoard of $4.5 billion is testimony to its strength. But can it really weather through this storm and produce growth? That is the key question that Wall Street will want to have answered, and likely to be a big topic in the conference call. The drop in stock price signals investors’ disappointment with the less than expected outlook for the future.



Ernst and Young UK Reports Excellent Results, Beating Rival Big Four Firms

The Times of London just came out yesterday with Ernst & Young’s UK results (surprisingly, we couldn’t find it on the E&Y UK website).

And according to The Times, it appears that Ernst & Young UK has chalked out a different path than the other two Big4 firms which have already reported (Deloitte and PwC) and on which we have blogged earlier. 2009 revenues grew 8% from 2008 revenues to £1.4 billion. This is a stellar growth, compared to PricewaterhouseCoopers UK which grew 1% to £2.25 billion, and Deloitte UK which actually shrank 2% to £1.97 billion. Contrast this with the global E&Y firm, where revenues in local currency terms decreased by 0.2% but by a stark 7% drop in US$ terms. The E&Y UK firm is smallest of all the UK Big4 firms, and KPMG UK is still yet to report on its FY 2009 results.

E&Y’s Audit division revenues fell 2% to £360 million, but Tax division revenues increased by 6% to £392 million, and M&A Advisory revenues rose a stellar 15% to £289 million, while Other Advisory and Management Consulting was clearly the star of the show, with revenues up an amazing 16% to £342 million.

What led to this good performance? According to Scott Halliday, Ernst & Young’s managing partner for the UK and Ireland, it was due to the integration of the firm’s UK operations with those in Europe, Africa and the Middle East. In November 2008, E&Y merged more than 80 member firms across those regions into a single entity. “There is something fundamentally different about where Ernst & Young is relative to its competitors right now,” Mr Halliday said. “The market’s starting to recognise that and that’s why you’re seeing these results.”

Ernst & Young did not provide exact figures on profits available to partners, but said that it had declined from 2008 to 2009 “in line with our competition”. In 2008-09, PwC recorded profit per partner of £777,000, down 3% while Deloitte UK partners had average profits of £883,000 down 7.5 per cent.

Hiring at E&Y UK continues, with 700 new graduates and promotions of 48 junior accountants to partnership. This is in contrast to the overall E&Y firm where headcount was absolutely flat from 2008 to 2009.

Clearly, this is surprising and unexpectedly good performance at E&Y UK (and deserving our congratulations), the equivalent of beating analyst EPS estimates for other public companies. Expectations were a flat revenue growth in line with other Big4 UK firms and also in line with the overall E&Y firm, but these results show that there is something fundamentally different in E&Y UK and its response to difficult external conditions. It appears to have gained in M&A and advisory services, both growing strongly year on year, despite a rough market. Either E&Y is taking share from other Big4 firms or is providing a client proposition of such value that it is penetrating existing clients with additional services.

KPMG UK is the last firm to report (and we don’t see anything on their website today) and that will complete the picture. With today’s E&Y announcement, the bar has been set slightly higher for KPMG UK, and we’ll have to wait to see if they cross over or under that line.

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

Ernst & Young: External Challenges Drive Flat Revenue From FY 2008 To FY 2009


Ernst & Young just reported its combined worldwide results for the year ending 30 June 2009 (FY09), the first Big4 firm to report its global results.

Combined global firm revenues of US$21.4 billion for the fiscal year ended 30 June 2009 (FY09) decreased a modest 0.2% in local currency terms from the comparable period in FY 2008. In FY 2008, E&Y reported US$23.0 billion in global revenues, and in US dollar terms, the revenue actually declined 6.8% from 2008 to 2009. This shows the dramatic effect of the appreciation of the US dollar in this period against foreign currencies. In other words, one unit of foreign currency translated to much fewer US dollars in the FY 2009 fiscal year compared to the FY 2008 fiscal year. We have highlighted growth in both local currency and US$ terms in our analysis.

Across E&Y’s five geographic areas, Japan grew at 7.5% in local terms, due to the acquisition of 1,000 professionals from accountancy firm Misuzu; and revenues increased 20% in US$ terms. Europe, Middle East, India and Africa (EMEIA) area grew 1.8% in local currency terms, but declined 9.7% in US$ terms. Oceania decreased 0.4% in local currency terms, but declined a dramatic 15.9% in US$ terms. The Far East decreased 2.7% in local currency terms and 5.9% in US$ terms. The Americas area decreased 3.2% in local currency terms but 5.5% in US$ terms.

There were some bright spots however, with many of the emerging markets achieving strong growth, including the Middle East (18.6%), India (13.1%) and Brazil (8.0%).

E&Y said that, “all of our service lines were impacted by pricing pressure and fee reductions.” Despite that, Assurance Services with FY 2009 revenues of $10.1 billion offset price pressure with market-share gains, and revenues declined only 0.7% in local currency terms, but 6.3% in US$ terms. Global Tax Services with FY 2009 revenues of $5.8 billion was up 1.8% in local currency terms due to increased tax enforcement, but dropped 5.2% in US$ terms. Advisory Services with FY 2009 revenues of $3.6 billion was up 1.5% in local currency terms due to sustained demand for risk management and performance improvement, but dropped 6.0% in US$ terms. Transaction Advisory Services with FY 2009 revenues of $1.9 billion, had a 6.9% decrease in local currency terms due to fall in M&A volumes, but revenues decreased a whopping 14.8% in US$ terms.

Ernst & Young’s employee levels were flat from 2008 into 2009 at 144,500 total employees. Americas declined 4.5% from year to year, this was offset with growth in Japan, EMEIA and Far East. Employee level changes across service lines was moderate in percentage terms from year to year. Attrition levels would be certainly down due to the tough job market, and it seems hiring levels just kept pace with departures.

The recently reported numbers from Deloitte UK and PricewaterhouseCoopers UK were pre-indicators that the Big4 firms would not be reporting blow-out results. And this first announcement from E&Y confirms our premise that business for the Big4 has slowed down dramatically in the last 15 months as the economic global crisis finally had an impact on the Big4 firms due to reduced demand, price pressure and fee reductions. This brings an abrupt stop to 5 year of double-digit % annual revenue growth at all the Big4 firms.

The good news in this release is that revenues have not shrunk by a large amount, showing that the Big4 firms have deep breadth and penetration in every market and country in the world, and their services continue to be in demand by clients as they navigate through this crisis. A flat year to year scenario, given the deepest and most detrimental recession since the Great Depression, is cause for somber reflection, but not for alarm. Consider that Tax and Advisory Services actually grew for Ernst and Young.

We’ll wait to see how the other Big4 firms report results, Deloitte is certainly late this year in their results, but we would expect that revenue growth is nearly flat and all firms will discuss external challenges as the main driver of this situation.

Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Police Raid Ernst & Young HK Office in Akai Case

We highlight a breaking news story happening on the other side of the world, in Hong Kong the police yesterday raided the offices of Ernst & Young, the erstwhile auditors of Akai. Akai was the largest corporate collapse in Hong Kong, with similarities to the Enron case in the United States. This story is making current headlines in the small city state, making the first page of the influential South China Morning Post and also reported on Bloomberg Asia and Bloomberg.com’s home page today.

Bloomberg further reports that, “The Commercial Crime Bureau today conducted an investigation into a case of suspected ‘forgery’ involving an auditing firm in Hong Kong,” police spokesman T.K. Ng said in a statement yesterday. The police apparently arrested a 41 year man at his house, but the identity of that person or his firm affiliation is not known.

Earlier this week, Ernst & Young, settled with Akai’s liquidator, Borrelli Walsh Ltd and agreed to pay an undisclosed but “substantial” amount to settle claims against the firm of negligence in performing its audit of Akai between 1997 and 1999. Also, on September 23, 2009, the E&Y HK firm suspended one of its partners, Edmund Dang, after pursuing an internal investigation.

The Hong Kong Institute of Certified Public Accountants will reportedly monitor police investigations into Ernst & Young, Winnie Cheung, chief executive of the accounting regulator, said by phone yesterday. The institute, which doesn’t have its own investigative powers, may fine or ban any offenders if the police probe reveals any wrongdoing, she said.

This is a complex story with some unfamiliar names, let’s help by sorting out the players and the actions (keep in mind, this is based on our web research and presented only to clarify the situation for our readers):

Who is Akai?

Akai was a originally a Japanese consumer electronics maker, which went bankrupt in 2000 ending up owing creditors about $1.11 billion. Reportedly, at its peak the company employed 100,000 workers and had annual sales of HK$40 billion ($5.2 billion) with well-known brands including the Singer Sewing Machine Co. of the U.S.

This is Akai’s website - http://www.akai.com/index.asp. Akai in Japanese is the red color.

Who is Borelli Walsh?

Borrelli Walsh is the liquidator for Akai, it is a Hong Kong based specialist restructuring, insolvency and forensic accounting firm, and focuses on Financial and Operational Restructuring, Corporate Recovery and Insolvency, Financial Investigations and Forensic Accounting, Construction Claims Advisory and Recovery, Corporate and Strategic Advice and Information Technology Services

What is Ernst & Young’s role in this case?
Ernst & Young were Akai’s auditors in 1994, all the way to bankruptcy in 2001.


Why is Ernst & Young getting sued?

Ernst & Young was originally getting sued for audit negligence by the liquidator, but Borrelli Walsh appears to have received some recent and rather incriminating evidence of audit fraud. On September 16, 2009, at the opening of the trail against Ernst and Young, Borrelli Walsh alleged that files dating back to 1994 were altered later to give the “semblance of an audit trail.” Borrelli Walsh said audit documents 1994 contained handwriting from an auditor who was not employed by Ernst & Young until 1998. Kosmin also said electronic versions of some documents had been altered with the addition of information years after the documents had been dated.

Of course, Ernst & Young denied this allegation at Hong Kong’s High Court, but later launched an internal investigation, where it expressed that it was “dismayed.” “This investigation has made clear that certain documents produced for the audits in 1998 and 1999 could no longer be relied on due to the action of the audit manager in early 2000,” Ernst & Young said in an e-mailed statement.

Borrelli Walsh was reportedly seeking hundreds of millions of dollars from damages from E&Y.

What was the settlement?
Ernst & Young reportedly settled with Borrelli Walsh to close these claims for an undisclosed but substantial sum of money without admitting guilt. Borrelli Walsh welcomed this settlement, indicating that it would avoid needless legal costs.

Who is The Grande Holdings?
In 2004, The Grande Holdings bought out Akai and brought it out of bankruptcy. The Grande Holdings has other well known brands like Sansui, Akai, Nakamichi and Emerson, and makes high class audio, video and household goods. The website is http://www.grandeholdings.com/english/links.php but it is really sparse in terms of providing any substantive information.

Who is Christopher Ho?
Christopher Ho is the Chairman of Grande Holdings and a former Ernst & Young partner. Hong Kong’s Court of Appeal on Sept. 24 upheld an earlier judgment ordering Ho not to dispose assets of as much as $200 million. Grande said yesterday the Hong Kong courts have also placed restrictions on certain asset sales.



This has the makings of a classic soap opera with twists and turns, new ground breaking evidence, multiple players, allegations and counter allegations and now with the involvement of the police, taking on somewhat of a sinister turn.

Needless to say, this is a messy situation for Ernst and Young, an audit that is more than eight years old suddenly coming to the front burner and creating unnecessary bad press. This is evidence of the long tail of public company audits, and shows just like the Parmalat case with Deloitte, that there is considerable risk in auditing, and audits gone wrong can have bad consequences many years into the future.

We cannot make judgment calls on who was right in this case, but clearly there was something amiss in the audit, and the settlement and subsequent police raid indicate that there is more than just a bad audit. We hope that things do sort out satisfactorily for all parties, and those not even remotely connected with the audit are not held to blame for it, as happened with Andersen.

The recent development in the UK, which rejected caps on auditor liability only adds fuel to this fire, and exposes auditors to potentially limitless and time-unbound liabilities of any audit, which only shows the need for immaculate and tight risk control at every audit step.

We’ll follow this story and by the looks of it, there’s certainly more to come. If any of our readers have more information on this, please do comment.

Tuesday, September 22, 2009

KPMG: Tax Authorities, Looking For Cash, May Push Transfer Pricing To Front Burner

Transfer Pricing (TP), or the setting of intercompany prices of goods and services transported across country borders by the same company is typically an esoteric tax issue which garners little attention under normal conditions. But as KPMG recently points out in its recently released Global Transfer Pricing Review, the tough economic environment is leading many governments to seek out new sources of tax by extending and tightening controls over cross-border transactions between companies within the same group.

And this topic is quickly getting to the front burner for many multinational corporations.

In the most simple terms, KPMG explains, “Transfer pricing reviews typically focus on comparing transactions between companies in the same organization, with similar transactions between unrelated companies – so called “arm’s-length” transactions. Some authorities may levy taxes and impose penalties on companies where their internal pricing is found to deviate from arm’s length pricing.”

The tool the tax authorities most often use to examine whether pricing is correctly set as per arms-length requirements is the much-dreaded audit. This usually requires intense effort on the part of the multinational to prove they have complied with or in compliance with transfer pricing regulations. The absence of such proof is a nasty fine and potential penalties, all of which companies go to great lengths to avoid.

Multinational companies which are entering new emerging markets such as China, Greece and Vietnam now have to deal with new or greatly expanded TP regimes, while developed countries are stepping up their audit programs and tightening their rules.

There appears to be different approaches taken by tax authorities all over the world to deal with this issue:

In the US, tax authorities are placing advance pricing agreements, which are made between taxpayers and revenue authorities on prices and taxes payable to each transaction. In Canada, there appears to be a movement towards a “taxation by negotiation” approach.

In Europe, there is a flood of new regulations from larger countries, coupled with new TP regulations from Eastern European states. Obviously this impacts companies who are setting shop in these lower-cost countries. In the UK, there is a new risk-based approach to TP enquiries, targeting high-risk transactions and structures.

However, it is in the Asia Pacific region where authorities are most active, and stepping up audit activity, especially in India, Australia, China, Korea, Japan, China and Singapore, showing that Asia is now the new hot spot for TP compliance and activity. Not surprisingly, Asia Pacific tax authorities are seen by many as the toughest in the world in this field.

The 150 plus page KPMG survey is a detailed look at TP regulations in 60 countries, and covers such topics as competent authority documentation requirements, methodologies used, penalties imposed, and recent developments. There are two pages for each country and the book is a splendid guide to understanding the breadth and depth of this complex topic. Each country is different, has varying considerations, and places varied regulations and penalties, making TP professionals a globally savvy bunch to fully understand all these regulations in all these different countries.

However, there is a bottom line to all this. Multinational companies will be subject to more intense scrutiny on their intercompany pricing in the upcoming future, and they had better understand and adhere to global TP regulations as they expand into new markets and also deal with a complex web of goods and services which are continually moving within their company but across geographic borders.

So, it is likely that TP will soon impact finance, accounting, tax, shipping, distribution and pricing personnel much more than it has ever done in the past. As KPMG says,
“With the profits of many multinational enterprises shrinking, tax authorities can be expected to ratchet up their audit activities to ensure that each of their jurisdictions gets its fair share of a shrinking pool of tax revenues.”

The entire report is available at, and a worth read for tax personnel:

http://www.kpmg.com/SiteCollectionDocuments/2009-Transfer-Pricing-Guide-GTPS-Review.pdf

Monday, September 21, 2009

Deloitte Predicts Flat 2009 US Holiday Retail Sales, And A Lonely Mall Santa

Though there are many signs of economic rebound as we have seen from many recent Big4 firm surveys which are indicating consumer confidence, business recovery and overall growth. But there are equally troublesome spots which are looming on the horizon which say that the recovery is not going to be robust or as smart as everyone would like it to be.
Here’s a somewhat somber forecast from Deloitte on 2009 US holiday sales which is getting a lot of media play.

Deloitte says that retailers should expect sales to remain flat against 2008. That’s right. Flat. No growth. No upswing. No crowded aisles. No long lines. But not down as it was last year almost 2.5%. And that’s the good news.

What’s the issue here? It’s the consumer. He/she has restricted availability of credit, is reeling from high unemployment, is dealing with foreclosures, paying down debt through savings and generally not in a mood to spend this Christmas.

And what can change this negative outlook. If the stockmarket rally continues, if housing prices pickup, if gas prices and general inflation stay flat, if the job market starts to canter and if the dollar strengthens, this could help boost confidence at a crucial time for retail, the period between Thanksgiving and Christmas accounting for nearly 70% of all the year’s retail sales.

Deloitte’s Retail group expects total 2009 holiday sales to be US$810 billion, flat over 2008 (excluding motor vehicles and gasoline), however this is better than 2008, which fell 2.4% below 2007, and marking the first decline in holiday sales according to Deloitte’s analysis of Commerce Department data dating back to 1967.

What ar retailers to do to best manage this tough situation? According to Stacy Janiak, vice chairman and U.S. Retail leader, Deloitte LLP, “Retailers appear to have prepared themselves for a challenging season by adjusting inventory and closely managing their expenses. Going forward, scenario planning that accounts for different market conditions may help merchants navigate these uncertain times. Retailers should also consider placing customer insights at the forefront of their decisions around merchandising, pricing and promotions. Retailers that can harness the power of technology likely have a better chance of engaging those consumers who are willing to spend. The proliferation of mobile applications and social networks may yield new opportunities to pursue targeted advertising, build brand loyalty and measure campaign effectiveness.”

Again, this is only a prediction of what’s very likely to occur. Come early next year, when all the numbers are in for the holiday season, we will know for sure. But it does seem tough for the brick and mortar stores, e-tailers like Amazon may yet buck this trend and verify again the continuing trend toward buying stuff on the internet is here to stay.

Thursday, September 17, 2009

Ernst and Young: Glamour and Secrecy in Upcoming 2009 Emmy Awards

We have blogged earlier about PricewaterhouseCoopers’ auditing of the Oscar Movie Academy Awards, which the firm has been solely handling for 75 years in complete secrecy with undisclosed locations, strict controls and tight personnel regulations.

The other award which garners similar world wide publicity are the ones for the small TV screen, and in a few days the winners will be announced for the 61st annual Primetime Emmy Awards from the Academy of Television Arts and Sciences. The Big Four firm handling the balloting process is Ernst & Young LLP, which has been doing so each year for the last two decades with the same amount of secrecy and rigor.

For the 21st year, two to three partners from E&Y’s Global Media and Entertainment Industry Center will bring down the secret Emmy envelopes the red carpet in locked briefcases. Owing to tight security, only three E&Y folks know the results till the envelopes are opened on stage during the telecast.

And says John Nendick, Leader of E&Y’s Global Media & Entertainment practice, “…A majority of the Ernst & Young LLP professionals involved with the balloting process are not even aware of who the winners are until they are publically announced on stage.” So the E&Y auditors doing the count are equally unaware of how it’s going to shape up.

Here are some interesting numbers from the balloting process:

6 – number of categories and awards in 1949
103 – number of categories on the ballot in 2009 (a more than 1,500% increase over the first year)
15,000+ -- number of ballots Ernst & Young LLP tabulates each year
16,500+ – number of ballots received during the nomination and final balloting process (a lot of ticking and tying we bet!)
3 – number of people at Ernst & Young LLP who memorize the list of winners (we guess in case the envelopes are somehow lost!)

Presenters at the event are Chandra Wilson of ABC's “Grey's Anatomy” and Jim Parsons of CBS series “The Big Bang Theory” . Here are the series that have gathered the most nominations for 2009:

30 Rock - 22 Nominations (the 2008 winner)

Grey Gardens - 17 Nominations

Mad Men - 16 Nominations

Into The Storm - 14 Nominations

Saturday Night Live - 13 Nominations

Do you have a special favorite which can win?

Watch at 8 pm EST this Sunday, 20 September 2009 for the 61st Annual Primetime Emmy Awards live from Los Angeles on CBS, and see if you can spot the E&Y auditors with that special briefcase. It promises to be fun, and things don’t get any more glamorous for green eye-shaded accountants!

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Deloitte UK and PwC UK Revenues Flat, Showing Tough External Conditions

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP UK just reported its annual results for the year ending June 30, 2009 and with Deloitte LLP UK reporting its annual results for the year ending May 31, 2009, we have now two data points to understand better how the mid-2008 to mid-2009 period is shaping up for the Big Four firms. Please note that the UK firms are not representative of the entire firms, but they are certainly indicative and the data does arrive close to their year ends, while the Big Four firms seem to have the latitude, as private partnerships, to report their annual results months after the year is closed at a timing of their choice.
And the results are not pretty. Compared with the double digit annual revenue growth seen for the last five years, these results are fairly subdued. Revenue growth overall is flat, with some divisions up in single digits, offsetting others which are down in single digits.

First, Deloitte LLP UK.

Net revenues (billings excluding client disbursements) of £1.7 billion were flat to previous year; and gross revenues at £1.97 billion were actually 2% lower than in 2008. Audit and Consulting divisions enjoyed net revenue growth of 7% and 3% respectively, Tax was down 7% and Corporate Finance was down 9%. The net profit distributable to partners was £601m, down 6.1% on the previous year; and the average profit per partner fell by 7.5% to £883,000. On the employment front, things were a little better. 2009 employees averaged at 11,500, 1.7% higher than 2008 and total compensation paid to each employee increased on average by 5.4% per person. At 31 May, the partners were providing £726m to fund the business which averaged £1.1m per partner.

Next, PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP UK.

Turnover for the year ended June 2009 of £2.25 billion was flat from £2.24 billion, with underlying net revenue² increasing 1% to £1.98 billion. Advisory business revenues grew 5% to £737 million; Assurance shrunk 1% to £861 million and Tax businesses down 4% to £650 million respectively. Operating costs improved to 14.5% expressed as a percentage of turnover compared with 15.4% last year. Profit available for division among members increased by £3m to £667 million. Profit per partner at £777,000 decreased by 3% from £797,000. Assurance achieved turnover of £861 million (£866 million in FY08). Tax achieved turnover of £650 million (£675 million in FY08). Advisory achieved turnover of £737 million (£703 million in FY08). The UK Chairman has the largest entitlement to profit at £3.3 million

Of course, KPMG UK and Ernst & Young UK are yet to report, but if the UK is representative of the world, then it is clear that the credit crunch and tough economic conditions have finally exerted their influence on Big Four firm operations from mid 2008 to mid 2009, when the severity of the crisis was at the maximum.

Global results for the Big Four firms should be available in the next few months (Deloitte is already behind last year) and we will know the full picture. Our expectations are that revenue growth % will be generally low, with Audit up a bit and Tax and Advisory down a bit, emerging markets may show higher growth than developed countries, employment would be flat at best and profits (though not reported) would be generally lower than the previous year.

The Big Four may surprise us on the upside and that would show their resilience, global reach and tremendous potential to penetrate their clients for additional work. We’ll be reporting on these results in our blog as they come through the wires.

Big Four Firms Are Best Places To Launch A Career, Again

BusinessWeek just released its 2009 rankings of its much-anticipated “2009 Best Places To Launch A Career” list and for a second year, Big Four firms completely dominate the list, capturing the top four spots in the rankings. This year, only 69 companies made the list compared to 119 in 2008 due to more stringent criteria, making the 2009 list “both more exclusive and more competitive.” Thus, this year, there was more relative competition to make the list and this year’s rankings are at least 40% tougher than the previous year.

Deloitte, Ernst & Young, PricewaterhouseCoopers and KPMG are respectively ranked 1st to 4th on the list, beating out such leading contenders as Google (not even ranked), Goldman Sachs (2009 rank 6, 2008 rank 4), General Electric (2009 rank 16), Booz Allen Hamilton (2009 rank 63) and Microsoft (2009 rank 18).

Other notables associated with the Big Four firms are Accenture (2009 rank 11, up an astonishing 36 ranks from 2008 rank 47), Protiviti (2009 rank 49, remarkably up 46 ranks from 2008 rank 95).

Two of the Big Six Accounting firms also make the list. Grant Thornton (2009 rank 51, 2008 rank 76) and RSM McGladrey Pullen (2009 rank 66, 2008 rank 104).

We blogged about last year’s ranking
http://bigfouralumni.blogspot.com/search/label/Best%20Places%20to%20Launch%20a%20Career

where we said

“Great news for Big Four Alumni! You made the right choice for your career.” And
“Congratulations to all the Big Four firms, their efforts to hire, retain and nurture top talent has landed them top slots, making their alumni both proud and pleased to have been part of building such tremendous reputations.”

These kudos need to be repeated for this year, and perhaps with more fervor as the Big four firms this year completely dominated the top four spots. Accounting firms have always been favorite landing spots for new grads, and this year with the economic and job situation being bleak, strong stable and large professional services firms are particular favorites.

This year, BusinessWeek indicates that this was hardly any effort for the Big4 firms, “For the Big Four accounting firms, which have dominated the top of the ranking since its inception in 2006, this was a business-as-usual year. The group once again took all four top spots, though Deloitte unseated rival Ernst & Young at No. 1. With rich benefits, extensive training programs, and a combined recruiting effort that makes more than 10,000 hires even in a tough year, the Big Four are hard to beat, and Deloitte is harder than most.”

Also in 2009, Deloitte did beat Ernst & Young for the top spot, with higher salaries and continued hiring levels combined with more starting-out responsibility at Deloitte contributing to its higher rank. According to BusinessWeek, “With substantially higher pay—18% of Deloitte's entry-level hires this year will earn north of $65,000—plus the industry's biggest signing bonuses and most generous time-off policy, it's no wonder Deloitte is a favorite of students and career services directors. It doesn't hurt that Deloitte's entry-level hiring took the smallest hit this year, down just 1.1% in the first half compared with double-digit drops for No. 2 Ernst & Young and No. 4 KPMG. Deloitte, like most of the companies in the ranking, is not immune to the effects of the downturn—it reduced its U.S. workforce about 2% last year, citing "the overall slowdown in the U.S. and global economies." To make do with less, Deloitte is tapping its brightest young employees for cost-cutting ideas—then tossing them the keys. "When people come in with an innovative idea that's cost-effective, they may get a chance to implement it," says Diane Borhani, Deloitte's national campus recruiting leader.”

This is a large-scale and hence reliable survey and BusinessWeek polled 60 college career services directors across the country; collected data from a survey of 60,000 U.S. undergrads; and required employers to submit statistics on everything from pay and benefits to training programs and retention.

So again, we echo the sentiments of last year.

Alumni, you made a great choice in hindsight in selecting to work at a Big Four firm.

Big Four firms, congratulations in dominating a much tougher rank scaling and proving that you are by far the best companies for new undergrads to begin their careers and move on to bigger and better achievements down the road.

The full survey is at http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/toc/09_37/B4146career.htm

And you can find individual company profiles as below:

1. Deloitte (2008 rank 2)
http://www.businessweek.com/careers/first_jobs/2009/1.htm

2. Ernst & Young (2008 rank 1)
http://www.businessweek.com/careers/first_jobs/2009/2.htm

3. PricewaterhouseCoopers (2008 rank 3)
http://www.businessweek.com/careers/first_jobs/2009/3.htm

4. KPMG (2008 rank 5)
http://www.businessweek.com/careers/first_jobs/2009/4.htm

5 U.S. State Dept.
6 Goldman Sachs
7 Teach for America
8 Target
9 J.P. Morgan
10 IBM

11. Accenture
http://www.businessweek.com/careers/first_jobs/2009/11.htm

Tuesday, September 01, 2009

Deloitte, First To Report In 2008, But Apparent Delays in 2009

Last year on July 23, 2008, we blogged the below about Deloitte’s 2008 results for the year July 1, 2007 to June 30, 2008. We’re already in September 2009, and we scoured the Deloitte Global and Deloitte US sites for results for the year July 1, 2008 to June 30, 2009.

But, nothing. There is absolutely no mention of this year’s performance at all. These numbers are critical as they will encompass the hardest hit months of the global credit crisis, and tell us what is happening at the Big Four firms. Deloitte is typically the first Big4 firm to report, and the lack of information this year is curious indeed.

So Deloitte, where are your financials for this year? Its already two months past year end……are you delaying reporting to match PwC and E&Y or are we missing something?

(In comparison, last year 2008, PricewaterhouseCoopers and Ernst & Young reported results in early October 2008 (both for years ending June 30 2008), while KPMG was the last to report in mid December 2008 but for year ending September 30, 2008)




Wednesday, July 23, 2008
Deloitte First Out of Gate with 2007 Results: Revenues Up a Staggering 19%

Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu ("Deloitte") just came out with its fiscal year 2008 aggregate member firm performance for year from July 2007 to June 2008. Global revenue increased from US$23.1 billion in FY2007 by 18.6% in U.S. dollars, and 13.0% in local currencies to US$27.4 billion, marking an amazing sixth consecutive year of U.S. dollar double-digit revenue growth from continuing operations. Growth was seen in each and every service line and geographic region delivered strong growth. The global slowdown seemed to have no effect on this tremendous growth performance.

Deloitte increased its headcount by 10% from 150,000 people in 2007 to 165,000 in 2008 (that’s almost 60 net hires each business day in 2007). Deloitte's BRIC firms have grown 90% headcount in the past three years.

By service line, Financial Advisory grew at 26.6% to US$2.4 billion, consulting services at 22.2% to US$6.3 billion; Tax and legal at 20.4% to US$6.0 billion, and Audit at 14.8% to US$12.7 billion.

By region, Asia Pacific led with revenue growth of 30.3% to US$3.2 billion; Europe, the Middle East, and Africa increasing by 22.6% to US$11.3 billion; and CIS up 40.8% percent. In the Americas, revenues were up12.9% to US$13.0 billion, with Latin America and the Caribbean growing at 22.4%.

Deloitte remains confident about continued success because of the strength of its model, which combines local depth and global scale, despite the uncertain economic climate.

PricewaterhouseCoopers UK: Total Lehman Europe Claims May Exceed $100 Billion

PricewaterhouseCoopers UK issued this official PwC statement on their PwC UK website updating their efforts in the administration of Lehman Brothers International (Europe)

"The parent company, Lehman Brothers Holding Inc, and its various USA subsidiaries that are in Chapter 11, have all established a deadline for claims to be submitted in the next few weeks. We're dealing with a large number of entities and therefore the claims could be as much as $100 billion. These claims are exceptionally complex and we anticipate a large amount of further work in dealing with these claims. This is a normal part of the bankruptcy claims formulation and submission process. A significant number of claims arise as a result of guarantees issued by the parent company to its subsidiaries globally.


"We have invested a significant amount of time helping administrators in other affiliates understand the Lehman accounting systems so that we can all agree a standard approach to the reconciliation of inter company balances. If this can be achieved then it should reduce the likelihood of affiliates suing each other in pursuit of amounts that are owed between the different Lehman estates."

$100 Billion! That is an enormous number, and close to the 2008 GDP of the country of Kuwait. In bankruptcy though claimants likely only get cents on the dollar so in effect the actual monies coming back may be much more moderate.

Once you get past this shock, the second paragraph is also interesting. In effect, is PwC saying – affiliates, please get behind us in coming up with a common approach, else you will end up bickering and cross-suing each other to get any dollars back from a cleaned-out Lehman US entity??

Big Four Firms Provide Excellent Resources On IFRS Conversion

Many of our readers in the professional accounting, reporting, tax and corporate finance fields are already familiar with the impending adoption of IFRS rules in the US and many countries all over the world. We thought we would write a bit about the current situation and how it is being handled at the Big Four accounting firms, given that it is going to be a critical issue for them in terms of public auditing, financial statement reporting as public company clients either converge GAAP to IFRS or convert fully to IFRS in the next few years and require hand-holding, guidance and advice from the Big Four firms.

Let’s review what’s been happening currently, albeit from a predominantly US perspective. On November 14, 2008, the US SEC released its proposed roadmap for the adoption of IFRS in the Unites States. Concurrently, the G20 country leaders issued a statement confirming their support for developing a single set of high-quality global accounting standards. While other high-priority issues (financial crisis and regulatory oversight etc.) have overtaken accounting standards change in the US, the move to IFRS in the US seems inevitable.

In the November 2009 Roadmap, the SEC did not set a definitive adoption date, but several milestones. If these were to be realized, it could mean the required use of IFRS by US issuers starting 2014. The SEC proposed a “staged” adoption schedule: large accelerated filers being asked to change in 2014, accelerated filers in 2015, and all other public companies in 2016. The SEC will reconvene in 2011 to see progress toward these milestones to determine whether to set mandatory adoption dates, demonstrating the SEC’s continuing commitment to common global accounting standards.

In light of these developments, there are two parallel tracks on which the IFRS train is proceeding, one being the convergence of US GAAP to IFRS in the US and the other being the total wholesale conversion of local accounting standards to IFRS in other countries.

1. Short-term convergence in the US

Regardless of when US companies have to adopt IFRS, in the short-term there is continued convergence between US GAAP and IFRS accounting standards, followed by ultimate conversion to IFRS. An agreement between the Financial Accounting Standards Board and the International Accounting Standards Board called the Memorandum of Understanding pledges to improve both US GAAP and IFRS in 11 major topical areas. And progress continues on each of these projects.

According to PricewaterhouseCoopers, “As such, US companies will face an unprecedented wave of US GAAP accounting changes over the next several years, most of which will be heavily influenced by IFRS. The complexity and significance of these sweeping changes greatly exceeds that of most prior US GAAP changes. For example, significant changes are expected in how to account for major accounting areas such as revenue recognition, leasing, consolidation, financial instruments, debt and equity. The effects of these accounting changes reach far beyond just financial reporting.”

2. Continued global conversion to IFRS

On the other hand, many countries around the world, examples being Canada, India, and Mexico are planning to convert fully to IFRS from their local standards in the next few years for use in capital markets and/or statutory financial reporting. The recent release of IFRS for small and medium-sized entities may accelerate this global adoption.

Companies in the US, while not directly on IFRS, will be impacted by IFRS adoption in other countries, especially when they have foreign subsidiaries, have non-US joint venture partners, are engaging in M&A outside the US. In addition, IFRS will drive the behavior of non-US subsidiaries, vendors, and counterparties, impacting financial reporting, tax policy, and merger and acquisition activity.

PricewaterhouseCoopers believes that US companies should actively participate in the adoption process of their non-US subsidiaries. Failure to do so risks costly inefficiencies or incompatibilities when IFRS adoption takes place in the US.


Big Four Firms IFRS Resources

We have also gathered below a list of URL resources from the Big Four firm websites, which are quite abundant, current and informative. The resources which we have listed below cover a lot of ground, from a 50,000 feet overview of IFRS to deep detailed discussions on specific accounting issues. Also, there are a number of guides (KPMG’s August 2009 168 page pdf being a great example) which layout exactly the differences between GAAP and IFRS. There is also a lot of honest opinion, critique, overview of current events and long-term outlooks which provide a rich perspective. These resources and URLs are being continually updated (Deloitte’s GAN and Ernst’s Outlook). We must also point out that there are a good number of podcasts, newscasts, audios and video forums which provide multi-media richness to dry documents.

By educating and alerting their clients, the Big4 firms, quite smartly, are ensuring that the clients come to them first for advice as needed, as also subconsciously pushing the need to start preparing for eventual convergence or conversion right away (with consequent advisory fees accruing to the firms from client preparatory engagements).

We’ll continue to monitor this, meanwhile love to have comments from our readers on what they are seeing in their professional circles on IFRS convergence or conversion.



Deloitte & Touche

IFRS Global Home Page
http://www.deloitte.com/view/en_US/us/Services/audit-enterprise-risk-services/Financial-Accounting-Reporting/International-Financial-Reporting-Standards-IFRS/index.htm

IFRS US Home Page
http://www.deloitte.com/us/IFRS

IFRS Resource Library
http://www.deloitte.com/view/en_US/us/Services/audit-enterprise-risk-services/Financial-Accounting-Reporting/International-Financial-Reporting-Standards-IFRS/article/8f2bbf2733101210VgnVCM100000ba42f00aRCRD.htm

Global Accounting News
http://www.iasplus.com/index.htm

IFRS Publications (Including the monthly IFRS In Your Pocket guides)
http://www.iasplus.com/dttpubs/pubs.htm

Deloitte Debates - IFRS
http://www.deloitte.com/view/en_US/us/Insights/Browse-by-Content-Type/Deloitte-Debates/IFRS-International-Financial-Reporting-Standards/index.htm

Deloitte Newsletters - IFRS
http://www.deloitte.com/view/en_US/us/Insights/Browse-by-Content-Type/Newsletters/IFRS-Insights-Archive/index.htm

IFRS Webcasts
http://www.deloitte.com/view/en_US/us/article/d89f0d7c67ffd110VgnVCM100000ba42f00aRCRD.htm
Deloitte IFRS e-Learning
http://www.deloitte.com/view/en_GX/global/services/Audit/global-ifrs-offerings-services/ifrs-implementation-services/ifrs-elearning/index.htm


Ernst & Young

IFRS Home Page
http://www.ey.com/US/en/Issues/Governance-and-reporting/IFRS

Global IFRS Overview
http://www.ey.com/GL/en/Issues/Governance-and-reporting/IFRS/Issues_IFRS-Overview

IFRS Outlook - August 2009
http://www.ey.com/GL/en/Issues/Governance-and-reporting/IFRS/IFRS-outlook-current-issue

Industry 360 Degrees - IFRS
http://www.ey.com/GL/en/Industries/Industry360---Industry---International-Financial-Reporting-Standards

Webcasts
http://www.ey.com/GL/en/Industries/Industry360---Industry---International-Financial-Reporting-Standards


KPMG

KPMG International Financial Reporting Group Home Page
http://www.kpmg.com/Global/Interests/IFRG/Pages/default.aspx

IFRS Compared to GAAP Home Page
http://www.kpmg.com/Global/IssuesAndInsights/RegularPublications/Pages/IFRS-GAAP-comparisons.aspx

August 2009 Publication (168 Pages pdf)
http://www.kpmg.com/Global/IssuesAndInsights/ArticlesAndPublications/Pages/IFRS-compared-US-GAAP-Aug-09-overview.aspx

Accounting Research Online (requires paid subscription)
https://www.aro.kpmg.com/aroext/login/login.aspx

KPMG IFRS Institute
http://www.kpmgifrsinstitute.com/


PricewaterhouseCoopers

US IFRS Home
http://www.pwc.com/us/en/issues/ifrs-reporting/index.jhtml

IFRS versus GAAP Document
http://www.pwc.com/us/en/issues/ifrs-reporting/publications/ifrs-and-us-gaap-similarities-and-differences-september-2008.jhtml

IFRS Video Learning Center
http://www.pwc.com/us/en/issues/ifrs-reporting/ifrs-video-learning-center.jhtml

Sign Up for IFRS First Emails
http://www.pwc.com/us/en/issues/ifrs-reporting/newsletters/subscribe-to-ifrs-first-newsletter.jhtml

IFRS Webcasts
http://www.pwc.com/us/en/issues/ifrs-reporting/webcasts/index.jhtml

Interactive IFRS Financial Statements Demo
http://www.knowledgelaunch.com/interactive_ifrs/?WT.ac=US2GX%20IFRS%20demo?WT.ac=US2IFRS%20demo

IFRS Publications
http://www.pwc.com/us/en/issues/ifrs-reporting/publications/index.jhtml

Interactive IFRS Adoption Map by Country
http://www.pwc.com/us/en/issues/ifrs-reporting/country-adoption/index.jhtml

IFRS Blog
http://www.pwc.blogs.com/ifrs/

IFRS Newsletter
http://www.pwc.com/gx/en/ifrs-reporting/ifrs-and-corporate-reporting-newsletter.jhtml

IFRS and US GAAP: similarities and differences - September 2009 (September 23, 2009)
http://www.pwc.com/us/en/issues/ifrs-reporting/publications/ifrs-and-us-gaap-similarities-and-differences-september-2009.jhtml

Accenture Finally Moves Incorporation From Bermuda to Ireland

01 September 2009

After announcing earlier this year that it will switch its place of incorporation from Bermuda to Ireland, its official as of today September 1, 2009. After gaining required approval from the Supreme Court of Bermuda. Accenture today completed the change in its place of incorporation to Ireland from Bermuda. The company will continue to be registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and to be subject to SEC reporting requirements. And Accenture shares will continue to trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol “ACN.”

The big change for legal purposes is that Accenture Ltd. Incorporated in Bermuda now becomes (a wholly owned subsidiary of) Accenture Plc incorporated in Ireland, and existing shareholders of Accenture Ltd. Now become shareholders of Accenture Plc on a one-is-to-one conversion ratio. In Accenture’s words from its 8-K filing:

“On September 1, 2009, Accenture Ltd and Accenture plc completed a transaction effected by way of a scheme of arrangement under Bermuda law (the "Scheme of Arrangement") pursuant to which each holder of Accenture Ltd Class A common shares or Class X common shares outstanding immediately prior to the effectiveness of the Scheme of Arrangement received one Accenture plc Class A ordinary share or Class X ordinary share in exchange for each outstanding Accenture Ltd Class A common share or Class X common share, as applicable, and cash for any fractional shares (the "Transaction"). As a result of the Transaction, Accenture Ltd became a direct, wholly-owned subsidiary of Accenture plc. On September 1, 2009, Accenture plc issued a press release announcing the completion of the Transaction. The press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1.

Prior to the Transaction, the Accenture Ltd Class A common shares were registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), and listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") under the symbol "ACN" and the Accenture Ltd Class X common shares were registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Exchange Act. As a result of the Transaction, all of the Accenture Ltd Class A and Class X common shares were cancelled and holders thereof received Accenture plc Class A and Class X ordinary shares, as applicable, on a one-for-one basis (or, in the case of fractional interests in Class A common shares, cash). Accordingly, Accenture Ltd requested that the NYSE file with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the "Commission") a Form 25 to remove the Accenture Ltd Class A common shares from listing on the NYSE. Accenture Ltd expects to file a Form 15 with the Commission to terminate the registration of the Accenture Ltd Class A and Class X common shares and suspend its reporting obligations under Sections 13 and 15(d) of the Exchange Act. “


In addition, the form 8-K filed today addressing three other principal points:

One

Assumption and Amendment of Equity Compensation Plans

Accenture Ltd assigns to Accenture plc, and Accenture plc assumes, the equity incentive plans of Accenture Ltd, including all award or grant documents or agreements thereunder: the 2001 Share Incentive Plan and the 2001 Employee Share Purchase Plan under the same terms and conditions

Two
Assumption and Amendment of Certain Agreements related to Accenture plc Class X ordinary shares

Accenture plc, as successor to Accenture Ltd, has agreed with the original holders of Accenture SCA Class I common shares and Accenture Canada Holdings Inc. exchangeable shares not to redeem any Class X ordinary share of such holder if the redemption would reduce the number of Class X ordinary shares held by that holder to a number that is less than the number of Accenture SCA Class I common shares or Accenture Canada Holdings Inc. exchangeable shares owned by that holder.

Three

Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors;
Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers

As of September 1, 2009, the directors and executive officers of Accenture Ltd immediately prior to the Transaction became the directors and executive officers of Accenture plc. Concurrently the directors of Accenture Ltd resigned from Accenture Ltd and carry their terms of office over to the Accenture plc Board of Directors.

Clearly the change in place of incorporation was driven by tax-reduction motives, both to reduce effective taxes paid, and stay out of the reach of the US authorities who are now aggressively extending their net to US companies incorporated in Bermuda. Apart from this, we see no impact on Accenture operations, cash flow or future growth plans. Of course, Accenture did announce recently that it will let go 7% (332) of its senior executive force of about 4,800, while providing absolutely no other details on this abrupt move.

The Accenture stock has drifted downwards over the last few days as this news got incorporated but Accenture (NYSE:ACN) is up today to $33.26 per share up 26 cents or 0.8%.

Thursday, August 13, 2009

Big4 Surveys: Optimism and Positive Sentiment Are Here Again

The Big Four firms periodically conduct global surveys on economic indicators, trends and specific industries. We have blogged earlier that such surveys have been quite accurate in gauging the advent and the depth of our ongoing economic crisis. Since these cover multiple industries, countries and executive levels and are conducted by independent and reputable firms, we can look to them as good indicators of global economic activity and a worthwhile complement to other well watched indices.

For the longest time, these surveys have been dismal and filled with decreases and negative percentages. However, in the last two months, several Big4 firm surveys are showing a distinct and sharp increase in optimism, enhanced activity and robust executive outlook that speak to a reversal of negative trend and pulling out of the downturn. We are seeing words in these survey results such as rebound, better, bullish, optimism and uptick, which were noticeably absent in previous results, and uniformly point to encouraging signs in all global economies for better future prospects.

Let’s take a look at four recent surveys.

First, KPMG’s August 2009 Business Outlook Survey shows a strong rebound in confidence amongst UK manufacturers following the dramatic deterioration recorded in the preceding two surveys. Activity, new business and profits are all forecast to increase sharply over the next 12 months. Employment prospects are a little better, and have risen steeply since the winter. This survey was quite broad, covering 3,700 manufacturing companies in 11 EU countries. Over 65% of the UK survey panel signal hopes of an improvement in business activity during the next 12 months. July 2009’s reading is the highest in the EU and was the strongest for two years.

The August 2009 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP Manufacturing Barometer has similar good news. It reports less pessimism among U.S.-based industrial manufacturers over the US and global economies. And while there is expected decline in Q2-009, the overall outlook through the second quarter of 2010 shows improvement. In contrast, over the prior 4 quarters, a large majority of respondents viewed the US and world economies as declining. The outlook began to shift in Q2-2009 with a 30 point drop to 63% of industrial manufacturing executives maintaining that the US economy is in decline. The overall outlook for the next 12 months shows improvement -- with the lowest levels of pessimism and the highest levels of optimism seen in the past 5 quarters for both the US and world economies. 43% percent of respondents are optimistic about the US economy, up 27 points from Q1, and only 18% are pessimistic, down 37 points from the prior quarter.

Another recent survey from Deloitte supports the results of the other firms. The Deloitte Consumer Spending Index rose in July 2009, driven by falling unemployment claims and tax burdens, along with a rise in real wages. The Index attempts to track consumer cash flow as an indicator of future consumer spending. The Index, comprising four components ― tax burden, initial unemployment claims, real wages and real home prices ― rose to 2.15 percent, from an upwardly revised gain of 1.85 percent a month ago. The strength in the number was driven by all of the index components with the exception of real home prices.

The tax burden continues to fall with economic weakening, and is at a level rarely seen over the past 50 years except during brief periods following tax rebates. Continued decline is expected.
Initial Unemployment Claims have come down sharply over the past three months which historically has been a reliable signal of economic recovery.
Real Wages growth continues to post solid gains due in large part to falling prices. Real wages are up 4.5% from a year ago as falling prices have given a big boost to consumer purchasing power. And finally, Real Home Prices continue to fall on a year over year basis but at a slower pace.

The final piece of good news comes from Ernst & Young LLP which in July 2009 found signs of new IPO activity, despite fewer deals in the pipeline. The IPO pipeline stood at 28 registrants as of 30 June, 2009, down 36% from the 44 registrants as of Q1- 2009, reflecting both renewed IPO activity and the aging of older registrants. New registrants represent a total of $572 million of capital to raise (an average of $71.4 million per company), up significantly from $162.1 million in Q1 (an average of $54.0 million per company). Deal size has actually increased by about 41% since last year. Technology companies continue to lead the pipeline with five registrants representing $2.05 billion.

The common findings of these four surveys from the four firms support the overall recognition of improving fundamentals and sentiment that is being reflected in higher stock market prices, Federal Bank statements, economists’ pronouncements and Central Bank statements. We’ll continue to monitor such surveys to see if they are in sync or at variance with other broader economic indicators. At this time, the news is certainly good, and upticks in surveys only signal better times ahead.

Friday, August 07, 2009

Capgemini First Half Flat, But Second Half Expected Down, Sober Outlook

Capgemini recently reported its Q2-2009 results, and while sales for the first half (6 months) for 2009 were flat to the first six months of 2008 at EUR 4.4 billion, profits for 6 months of 2009 were sharply down from 2008. Operating profit for 2009 was EUR 167 million, down almost 40% from operating profit of 2008 of EUR 288 million, and some of this drop was due to restructuring charges in 2009. Operating margin% fell from 7.6% to 6.6%.

2009 bookings maintained the same level as 2008 bookings, but it is interesting to note a large change in the mix in that Outsourcing bookings surged 35%, but Consulting and Technology services were down 12%, indicating clearly that clients were becoming extremely cost sensitive and demanding services that would deliver immediate cost reductions rather than long term strategic advice or technology.

North America revenues actually rose 3.1%, but results were mixed in Europe. Asia Pacific continued to turn in good results, with revenues up strongly.

In terms of service lines revenues, the results were more telling: Outsourcing was up 2.6%, Technology Services was down 2.6%, Sogeti retreated 5.4%, while Consulting (“vulnerable to changes in the economic mood”) slumped 13.4%.

At June 30, 2009, Capgemini had 89,453 employees, up 3.4% on June 30, 2008 but down 2.4% on December 31, 2008, reflecting recent layoffs.

Capgemini offered a sobering outlook: only Outsourcing was expected to grow revenues, all other service lines to decline, and second half revenues dropping 4% and 6% compared to second half 2008, full year 2009 coming in 3% to 4% below 2008. Tighter cost control would enable Capgemini to achieve operating margin of around 7% of revenues.

In summary, Capgemini’s results were reflective of a smart operator in a difficult environment, it pushed saleable services to the max and controlled costs wherever possible to maintain the level of the bottom line. However, as compared to Accenture’s recent Q3-2009 brilliant numbers and bright outlook, these were pale and conservative. Accenture had great results for all its segments and good international growth, while Capgemini’s Consulting services were down quite a bit and European results were spotty. While not fair to exactly compare these two Big4 firms, the contrast between them shows Accenture’s management acumen and global depth.

Despite this sobering results and future, investors seemed to like what they heard and have moved the stock up 30% in the last few days from EUR 25 to nearly EUR 32. Clearly, they think that a 4% drop in revenue and a modest decline in operating margin% is signs of strong performance, especially given the dire external conditions facing consultants. Outsourcing growth and profits are clearly a big contributor to investor confidence and growth in this segment signals Capgemini’s strong presence and increasing clout in this area.

Wednesday, August 05, 2009

Shocking Accounting Scandal at Huron Consulting Group

Just after market close on Friday July 31st, 2009, Huron Consulting Group dropped a bombshell on investors by announcing an intention to restate its 2006 to 2009 financial statements due to incorrect accounting of “non-cash charges relating to how payments received by the sellers of certain acquired businesses were subsequently redistributed among themselves and to other select Huron employees”. Shell shocked investors immediately sold HURN stock, causing the stock to fall by an astounding 70% from close of market on Friday at $45 to open at a paltry $12 per share at open of market on Monday August 3rd, 2009, and leading to an instant shareholder value disappearance of almost $700 million.

It is now apparent that Huron had agreements to pay some employees at four of its recent acquisitions “earn-out” compensations based on their unit performance after the transaction was completed. These agreements were on their own quite legal, but their accounting was not quite done right. Instead of charging these compensations to P&L expenses as non-cash charges with negative impact on Huron’s net income, they were booked as purchase price goodwill on the balance sheet, thus with no impact on net income and EPS.

Thus, net income and EPS were overstated for these years, and the restatement has the effect of reducing net income by these incorrectly accounted charges. These restatements are not insignificant, in 2006 net income would have decreased by $4 million from $27 million to $23 million; in 2007, net income would have decreased by $18 million from $42 million to $24 million; in 2008, net income would have decreased by $31 million from $41 million to $10 million; in Q1-2009, net income would have decreased by $4 million from $10 million to $6 million. Cumulatively, the total restated amount was $57 million over these four years.

Upon disclosure, the market reduced Huron’s shareholder value by 12 times the fictitious additional earnings of $57 million. Just before this announcement Huron’s P/E ratio was $44 share price divided by estimated EPS of $3.16 or about 14x. Which kind of makes sense.

Huron started as a spinoff from Andersen in March 2002 with about 25 partners and about 200 consultants, principally from Chicago and some pockets in New York, Houston and other parts of the US. The heart of Huron was the Litigation consulting group from the Midwest offices at 33 West Monroe, Chicago downtown. In a matter of weeks while Andersen was crumbling, Huron was able to pull together its core partners, and with financial backing from Lake Partners and Gary Holdren and Dan Broadhurst in the lead, quickly set up its own operating structure and separate offices. Since the core partners had strong and profitable individual practices, they were able to move their clients and personnel to Huron, and given the imminent collapse of Andersen, this was an appropriate move, though with always the inherent risk of a startup entity. Paul Charnetzki, Jim Rojas, Jim Roth, Lisa Snow, Susan Gallagher, Gerald Richardson, Mukesh Gangwal, Michael O’Connor, Robert Wentland, Timothy Zeldenrust among others formed the core team of Chicago partners who launched Huron. Interestingly, this group was a purely consulting practice and had no connection with the Enron audit which caused the downfall of Andersen.

Even at its inception Huron had strong and profitable practices, and notched up annual revenues of $35 million. It focused on litigation services, forensic accounting, bankruptcy, education and healthcare consulting, all services in good demand. Over the years, it grew with amazing rapidity adding new services, new experts, new consultants and new offices both in the US and abroad. Revenues surged to $100 million in 2003. Huron went public in October 2004 (Nasdaq: HURN) with revenues of $150 million and 600 employees, providing an early and financially rewarding exit for Lake Capital and making the initial core partners quite wealthy independent shareholders. Huron continued to grow to $600 million in revenue in 2008 and with 2,000 employees, bucking the economic downturn with services that were quite recession-proof over the last few years. Huron also made a number of acquisitions during this time extending its service depth and international footprint. In 2009, Huron was expecting revenues of about $700 million and about $65 million in net income.

So what happened?

The media and blogs are conveniently pinning the Huron debacle on its Andersen roots, and hinting that the Enron malfeasance bled into Huron. We don’t fully subscribe to this theory, while Huron’s senior management team certainly was from the core of Andersen Chicago, it was hardly involved with Enron’s audit and was quite angry with the way things turned out for the Andersen firm taking the hit for the bad actions of a few employees.

Rather than jumping on the Andersen bandwagon, we think that what transpired here was the result of simple universal human emotions - fear and greed - playing themselves out. Fear of reporting less than satisfactory results to Wall Street which had very high expectations and the financial greed associated with an increasing stock price were in our opinion the key underlying factors for this debacle.

Put yourself in the shoes of Gary Holdren, Huron’s CEO in 2008. Would you rather report to a tough Wall Street crowd a stupendous 23% increase in sales from 2007 and a nearly flat change in net income OR would you report a robust sales growth and a precipitous decline in net income from 2007 to 2008. While we may never find out if Gary Holdren senior management knew of this accounting treatment, our guess is that they preferred the former position and continued to report false numbers in the fervent hope they never get found out. In the battle of truth versus falsehood, truth unfortunately got trampled by greed.

And ironically it is really not senior management which came out with this revelation. According to Huron’s statement, it came to the attention of the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors that there was something amiss when selling shareholders of an acquisition had an agreement among themselves to reallocate a portion to a Huron employee who was not a shareholder, upon which it launched an inquiry to see if other similar situations existed, and further engaged legal and financial advisors and notified PricewaterhouseCoopers, Huron’s auditors who were apparently unaware of this situation. Reading between the lines, it appears that the Audit Committee stumbled upon something and had the guts to chase it independently, senior management never seemed to be quite ready to disclose its errors.

With all this in the background, we are ready to hand out our kudos and shame awards:

First, kudos to the Audit Committee (John McCartney, Dubose Ausley and James Edwards) for unearthing this issue and pursuing it fearlessly to its terrible end.
Second, shame on senior management to succumb to greed and not complying strictly with accounting standards

Third, shame also on the auditor, PricewaterhouseCoopers for failing to spot this issue, especially in 2008, when the amount of money kept in goodwill was $31 million, three times the true net income of Huron of only $10 million

Fourth, shame on Huron itself for providing accounting, internal audit, internal controls, Sarbanes, and similar advice to its corporate clients, while following shady accounting practices. Physician, heal thyself first.

Finally, our sympathies for all the hard working and honest Huron consultants who had nothing to do with acquisitions or their accounting, and are likely as mad as anyone that this could happen to them.

The Chicago Tribune and Crains Chicago are already asking whether Huron will survive this scandal and continue as a company, given the impacts on its standing and potential large scale departures. We think that while this is a devastating hit on the company’s reputation and stock price, it is not a body blow and (unlike BearingPoint) the business will survive over the long term as its consulting service is quite healthy and utilization % quite reasonable. The first steps to announce the restatement, take the full market hit, fire the CEO and CFO, are all in the right direction. It will be tough going for a while (3 shareholder lawsuits already filed), but mass exodus of consultants seems rather unlikely (really, who’s hiring nowadays), and if the new management team which has already survived the Andersen crisis has the right attitudes and goals, (we hope) will make the move to a reputable consulting firm.

We’ll watch and see how things shape up, but the stock seems to be slightly on the upswing with a 6% move up today, which indicates to us that the market move down was perhaps a touch overdone, considering that core operations are still presumably fine.

It’s not fun to see another offspring of the Big4 firm take a nosedive, but its better to take the hit now and find a road to survival, then continue festering longer and be completely wiped off the map. Having seen what transpired at Andersen in 2002, this seems like déjà vu all over again.

Thursday, July 09, 2009

Deloitte’s New Shift Index – Elegant Framework For A Complex World

We were intrigued by Deloitte’s newly unveiled “Shift Index” which “pushes beyond cyclical measurement and looks at the long-term rate of change and its impact on economic performance.” The Shift Index is “designed to measure the rate of change and magnitude of these long-term forces that spawn the extreme events currently observed in today’s business world.”

And here is how this is put together: the Shift Index has three constituent indices:

First Wave: Foundations Index
This involves the evolution of a new digital infrastructure and shifts in global public policy, quantifying the rate of change in the foundational forces taking place today. A leading indicator since it shapes opportunities for new business practices.

Second Wave: Flow Index
Increasing flows of capital, talent, and knowledge across geographic and institutional boundaries, shifting the sources of economic value from “stocks” of knowledge to “flows” of new knowledge.

Third Wave: Impact Index
How companies are exploiting foundational improvements in the digital infrastructure by creating and sharing knowledge, and what impacts those changes are having on markets, firms, and individuals.

And what has this shift index shown?

U.S. firms’ ROA has steadily fallen to almost one-quarter of 1965 levels at the same time that we have seen improvements in labor productivity
The ROA performance gap between corporate winners and losers has increased over time, with the “winners” barely maintaining previous performance levels while the losers experience rapid performance deterioration — falling from positive returns in 1965 to largely negative ones today
The “topple rate” at which big companies lose their leadership positions has more than doubled, suggesting the “winners” have increasingly precarious positions
The benefits of productivity improvements increasingly accrue not to the firm or its shareholders, but to two stakeholders: top creative talent, or knowledge workers, who have experienced significant growth in compensation, and customers, who are gaining and wielding unprecedented power as reflected in increasing customer disloyalty

A write up on the index and the actual report (142 pages in pdf) are available here:
http://blogs.harvardbusiness.org/bigshift/2009/06/measuring-the-big-shift.html
http://www.deloitte.com/dtt/press_release/0,1014,cid%253D267047,00.html


The construct is fascinating – can you really take multiple indices and track foundational and secular changes in the economy? How can you distinguish between the multiple and oftentimes counteracting forces which shape today’s complex global economy? Can we really model all the elements of an economy a la the Unified Field Theory? And many such intransigent questions…

Going through the report, we were impressed with the amount of thought invested, the elegant presentation and a formidable attempt to bring together disparate measures in a simple explanatory framework. The conclusions are in sync with what equity markets know and incorporate into stock prices, in that returns on capital which are above cost of capital are generally competed away and eventually all super-normal returns on capital “fade” away to the cost of capital, however, the extent of fade varies across industries and companies. Sectors with low entry barriers generally attract a lot of competitors and such sector returns on capital are just slightly over the cost of capital. Proprietary knowledge and high capital investment costs provide high barriers to entry and thus help maintain excess returns on cost of capital.

The only way to maintain high returns is to “beat the fade” and continually reinvest in technology and processes to keep raising the bar and thwarting imminent competition. That US companies’ return on assets have dropped 75% over 40 years vindicates the fade concept and shows that competition from other countries has intensified and driven down returns from a period when US companies ruled the global marketplace.

The Shift Index has gathered attention from the Harvard Business Review and Financial Times, and though the authors themselves acknowledge that additional work is needed to make it practical and impactful, we look forward to any unique insights that this can bring to the confusing and complex world we live in and how to effectively deal with large-scale changes and big shifts to create benefits for ourselves.

Tuesday, July 07, 2009

Q2-2009 IPO Activity Grows Seven-Fold Over Q1-2009, Signals Some Deal Optimism

Ernst and Young has just released its Q2-2009 global IPO report, and while activity in this quarter was substantially over previous Q1-2009 quarter, it was far below 2008 levels and driven largely by 3 key IPOs in developing countries. We blogged about the dismal conditions in the Q1-2009 report at http://bigfouralumni.blogspot.com/2009/04/ey-report-shows-q1-2009-ipo-activity.html

Global IPO activity was higher in Q2-2009 with 76 IPOs worldwide compared with 52 in Q1-2009; deal value was up seven-fold to US$9.9 billion from just US$1.4 billion. However, Q2-2009 remained far lower than Q2-2008 which saw 269 IPOs raise US$38.2 billion in capital.

Three key IPOs: Brazil’s VisaNet (US$3.7 billion), the largest IPO worldwide so far this year and Brazil's biggest ever; metals company China Zhongwang Holdings Ltd (US$1.3 billion); and Vodafone Qatar (US$0.95 billion) accounted for 60% global capital raised. Together, Brazil and China were two-thirds of worldwide capital in Q2-2009.

This quarter, the most active country was South Korea with 17 IPOs (8 IPOs in Q1). China and Canada followed, with 13 and 9 IPOs respectively. US also experienced an uptick in activity rising from 1 IPO in Q1-2009 to 8 in Q2-2009. Not surprisingly, emerging markets accounted for 53 of the 76 global IPOs.

Global IPO activity is one measure of how the global economy is performing and recovering from the worst recession since the Great Depression. Activity levels were rock bottom in the first three months of the year, but since March, equity markets all over the world have been on a tear, rising 20%+ from multi-year lows, and this has created a sense of some confidence in investors and promoters. Banks in the US have rushed to the capital market as their stock prices have smartly increased and the bravest of the IPO candidates in the pipeline have ventured out. Rosetta Stone in the US, which markets language learning software, had a nice run on its IPO on opening day.

But it is clear that emerging and developing markets is where the action is, these markets have risen 40% plus in just three months and that two-thirds of IPO activity concentrated in these markets is not surprising.
Q2-2009’s substantial increase over Q1-2009 level is a matter of cheer, and perhaps defines the level of the “new normal”, and the heady days of 2007 seem but a distant memory.

It’s been only a few days since the quarter ended, and thanks to E&Y we have a near-contemporaneous indicator of global equity health. While the firm believes that conditions will remain difficult in the coming months, according to Gil Forer, Global Director of IPO initiatives at Ernst & Young, “However highly successful IPOs tend to emerge from post recession periods. These companies, having survived the ultimate stress test, are often leaner and have demonstrated the resilience of their business model. It’s a good time for dynamic entrepreneurial companies. And the high performance of stock exchanges around the globe in the second quarter has resulted in renewed interest in companies around the world to go public.”

And that comment pretty much sums up the cautious yet resilient sentiment in global equity markets today.

Friday, June 26, 2009

Accenture Q3-2009, Big Change From Prior Quarter – Investors Love It

In March 2009, Accenture (NYSE: ACN) delivered a shock to investors when it reported revenues and EPS for Q2-2009 under what investors were generally expecting and then dialed down expectations. For Q2-2009, Accenture’s EPS was 63 cents, 1 cent better than consensus expectations of 62 cents, but revenue of $5.27 billion was far less than what Wall Street was expecting at $5.53 billion. At that time, Accenture shares sank $4.60, or 14.4 percent, to $27.36 in morning trading on Friday, March 27, 2009. Management’s Q2-2009 commentary was sobering, and talked about sudden and dramatic shifts in clients and projects.

See our blog post on Q2-2009 earnings: http://bigfouralumni.blogspot.com/2009/03/accenture-indicates-profound-and.html
Things seem to have turned around quite well for the company this quarter Q3-2009. Yesterday Accenture reported EPS of 68 cents, a full 4 cents better than consensus of 64 cents and revenues of $5.15 billion, just shy of analyst consensus expectations of $5.2 billion. Investors were pleased with these results and the stock marched up 5% after hours on Thursday to almost $33 dollars, and staying at $32.79 mid-day Friday June 26, 2009.
Investors seem to be now happy with ACN, and Accenture’s stock has come back smartly to levels in early 2008 recovering much of the double digit% loss in March. The machine rolls on at Accenture, here are some notable factoids:

Q3-2009 cash was $4.0 billion, up from $3.6 billion in Q2-2009
Q3-2009 operating margin improved to 14.2%, new bookings $6.6 billion (consulting $3.2B and outsourcing $3.6B)
Q3-2009 revenues were impacted negatively by 12% from same period as the dollar strengthened substantially in this time
Q3-2009 consulting revenues of $3B decreased 20% in U.S. dollars, but outsourcing revenues of $2.2B decreased only 9%
Q3-2009, Accenture was smart enough to purchase or redeem about 10 million shares for $283 million from a combination of founders and open market purchases, at an average price of just $28.45 per share, that action already producing shareholder value of $450 million.

It is clear that outsourcing is getting ahead of consulting, as clients seek real cost savings and stay away from getting advice.

If we dig through the earnings call transcript, the key seems to lie in CEO Bill Green’s comments below, which is a marked shift from the defensive & inability-to-predict position in the previous quarters’ call. Reading between the lines, Accenture has shifted quickly to match the current external environment, focusing on its top clients, recognizing that the work is out there and executives just have to chase it down despite caution and deliberation at clients.
According to CEO Bill Green, “I think we put a lot of work looking at our diamond clients and looking at the initiatives that they have. We have done a lot of work looking at the leaders of our client companies in terms of the constant of people in the market place and the confidence has improved a lot and yet people are still thoughtful and cautious. I think it is going to be an interesting question about when you cross the line into 2010 calendar what really happens. So the difference between our first two quarters and our last two quarters could be dramatically different. I guess the other thing is there is still a lot of conversation and activity out there. So I think it is working its way through the system and as a result it is sort of hard. You can see the first couple of quarters and say this thing is going to get off to a slower start but it has the potential to ramp because as I said the work hasn’t gone anywhere. The needs are there. The work is there. The people that have the global agendas around consistent operating platforms and performance improvement things are all there. People have been taking small bites and I think somewhere along the line here we are going to get back into the bigger, more transformational type assignments.”
Thanks to http://seekingalpha.com/article/145458-accenture-ltd-f3q09-qtr-end-05-31-09-earnings-call-transcript for transcript details.
And Accenture laid out some forecasts:

Q4-2009 revenues $5-5.2 billion, with (8)% FX impact
2009 full year new bookings $23-25 billion, operating margin 13.4-13.7%, annual effective tax rate 27-29%
2009 full year EPS $2.67 to $2.70, operating cash flow $2.65 to 2.85 billion

And so, as we have said earlier, the machine rolls on, nothing seems to stop the onward push of this extremely well managed company. We have always admired Accenture, and in these worst of times to pull off such a quick turnaround just shows its tremendous global depth and breadth, acumen and competitiveness. Investors saw some of this light yesterday!

Wednesday, June 24, 2009

High Net Worth Individuals Lose $8 Trillion In Just One Year!

We have blogged in prior years about the Capgemini Merrill Lynch World Wealth Report, since the results are fascinating and the numbers are simply mind-boggling. The 13th annual 2009 report was just released hours ago, and we bring you their (rather sobering) findings and our take.

See our 2006 post - http://bigfouralumni.blogspot.com/2006/07/capgemini-tells-you-more-about-uber.html

See our 2008 post - http://bigfouralumni.blogspot.com/2008/07/10-million-wealthy-folks-own-astounding.html


Simply put, at the end of 2008, global HNWI (High Net Worth Individuals) population dropped 15% from 10 million in 2007 to 8.6 million in 2008 and their wealth dropped 20% or $8 trillion from $41 trillion in 2007 to $32.8 trillion in 2008. As Capgemini says, “The declines were unprecedented, and wiped out two robust years of growth in 2006 and 2007.”

Don’t feel sorry yet for this loss, as the average HNWI still had a nice pot of $3.8 million at the end of 2008 after enduring 16 months of ravaging global stock and real estate bear markets. The bigger story is that 1.5 million folks did drop out of the HNWI population, which means their wealth fell below the threshold of $1 million.

What caused all this drop? Sinking stock markets, especially in emerging markets in late 2007 and much of 2008 led to a lot of wealth destruction, coupled with falling real estate, rising commodity prices, global economic slowdown and general business malaise had their unfortunate effects on the ultra rich. As expected, many of them moved quickly to safety putting their money in cash, short term instrument and T bills to escape further deterioration.

In terms of geography in 2008, North America had 2.7 million HNWIs, 31% of the total, followed by Europe with 2.6 million (30%) and Asia Pacific with 2.4 million had 28% of all the world’s HNWI. The annual % drop in HNWI population was most pronounced in North America with 19% as 600,000 folks dropped below the threshold from 2007 to 2008. In Europe, half a million individuals didn’t make the cut and in Asia Pacific 400,000 had to be content with not calling themselves HNWIs.

The wealth destruction of these 10 million individuals was a staggering $8 trillion from 2007 to 2008 or a loss of about $800,000 per individual. We did some math to try to reconstruct somewhat the underlying numbers behind these results:

The number of global billionaires dropped from 1, 123 in 2007 to 793 in 2008 (according to Fortune magazine), and the total wealth of this jet-set dropped around 40% from $4.8 trillion to $2.8 trillion, and these thousand-or-so folks accounted for a staggering drop of $2 trillion from one year to the next. On a per individual basis, the decrease for this uber-rich billionaires was $2 billion. Those who had the most, appropriately enough, lost the most!

The number of Ultra High Net Worth Individuals (UHNWI – those with assets greater than $30 million) dropped from about 103,000 in 2007 to about 78,000 in 2008, and their net worth dropped (by our estimates) from about $15.6 trillion in 2007 to $12.9 trillion in 2008 or a drop of about $2.7 trillion. On a per individual basis, the decrease for these UHNWIs was $29 million.

For the subset of UHNWI minus the billionaires, the wealth destruction was around $700 million or about $7 million per individual.

Then come the folks don’t belong in these two above exclusive segments - just the run of the mill millionaire - with a net worth between $1 million and $30 million - dropped from 10 million folks to 8.5 million and their net combined worth dropped from $24 trillion in 2007 to $19 trillion in 2008 or a drop of about $5 trillion. On a per individual basis, the decrease for these HNWIs was only $0.6 million.

After you generally get used to the trillions of dollars that are bandied about in this report (but then of course, you need to be talking in trillions to get attention today!), wealth advisors can dig deeper to see how to help these folks manage their riches. Others can simply delight in the miseries of the ultra-riche and be comforted that even they were equally impactd by a global crisis which has not left anyone untouched.

A fascinating read, and you can find it at http://www.capgemini.com/resources/news

Monday, June 22, 2009

Miami Jury Finds BDO International Not Guilty – Huge Implications

We recently blogged on the recent ongoing trial on BDO International vs. Banco Espirito Santo in Miami, Florida with a jury in session to decide on the issue whether BDO Seidman, the US country firm, was an agent of BDO International, and whether the global umbrella firm should hold financial responsibility for the liabilities of the US firm.
(http://bigfouralumni.blogspot.com/2009/05/bdo-seidman-vs-banco-espirito-case.html)

There were two separate charges against BDO Seidman which were upheld in another court, one for compensatory damages of $170 million and the other for punitive damages of $351 million for a total of $521 million. Earlier, Judge John Schlesinger had ruled that the BDO International would not be held responsible for the punitive damages of $351 million, leaving only the $170 million to be decided by the jury.

We just listened to the 10 minute verdict delivered by the foreman of the jury (supplied to us courtesy of http://http://www.courtroomview.com/): BDO International is not responsible for the penalties imposed on BDO Seidman and the US firm was not agent of the global umbrella organization.

And the six member jury did not take long (barely an hour) to return an unanimous verdict. To the singular question, “Was BDO Seidman was an actual agent of the BDO International BV?”, the jury simply said “No”.

A clear win for BDO firms and perhaps an ever greater precedent-setting case with far reaching implications for accounting firms and the accounting industry, and in particular global firms such as the Big4 firms which operate as country partnerships under a global management organization. Clearly a guilty verdict would have created a host of troubles for Big4 firms, as this would have set a precedent in conferring liabilities upwards from child firms into the parent organization. A not-guilty verdict is very supportive but perhaps not entirely ruling out similar verdicts in the future.

BDO Seidman has clearly escaped a difficult situation, and while BDO International’s overall financial position may not be impaired, the US firm still has to come up with hundreds of millions of dollars to fulfill earlier damages. The source of this money is not that obvious, BDO Seidman has already said it will need to cut large number of employees to locate the funds. BDO Seidman is already appealing that earlier $521 million verdict. Meanwhile, the firm seems to be operating as usual.

The other case, which is likely to follow is Satyam Computer in India, along with its auditors, PwC India and then correspondingly PwC International. Under Indian rules, local auditors can be immediately charged with criminal cases, and as it happened two PwC India partners were jailed for conspiring in the Satyam scam. There has been no suit as yet against PwC India or PwC Global (most likely in the works), but surely shareholders or other parties will sue PwC local and international firms for auditing and certifying statements when clearly there was fraud going on at Satyam. There must be an audible sigh of relief at PwC on this verdict, and if there are extraordinary financial damages imposed on the Indian firm, the damage is likely to be localized and not travel up into the global organization and deeper pockets for larger sums of moneys to plaintiffs. Obviously, a guilty verdict in the BDO case would have been devastating precedent on the PwC case but a not-guilty verdict is no guarantee that the international PwC firm is shielded watertight from severe financial damage.

Two big verdicts for the defendant’s lawyer Mark Raymond sets him up far above a dual negative punch for plaintiff’s lawyer Steven Thomas. It is not clear at this time how these two lawyers will be involved in the BDO appeals case.

We hear there is another case looming in Florida with Ernst and Young defending its auditing and consulting at the defunct Superior Bank of Chicago (with key involvement by Hyatt’s Pritzker family), which was taken over by the FDIC in 2001, and that calls into question another prickly issue for Big4 firms, conflict of interest when both consulting and auditing are provided by the same firm (eventually which led to sale of E&Y’s consulting unit to CapGemini, sale of PwC’s consulting unit to IBM and spin-off and bankruptcy of KPMG’s consulting unit – BearingPoint)

We’ll be watching both on BDO’s appeal and the E&Y case as they unfold in the future.

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

Grant Thornton Survey Indicates Optimism Returns to Pre-Recession Levels

A little under a month ago (May 14, 2009) we blogged about a number independently conducted recent surveys by the Big 4 firms as a gauge for the depth and breadth of the global economic crisis and any nascent signs of its ending.

http://bigfouralumni.blogspot.com/2009/05/big4-firm-surveys-uniformly-indicate.html

At that time, surveys were uniformly negative and echoed much pessimism about current conditions and future prospects. There were only a few glimmers of hope among participants for any chance of near-term recovery.

We have been brought back to this topic again by Grant Thorton’s Business Optimism Index, a confidence measure of U.S. business leaders, which jumped sharply to pre-recession levels and offered a case for much optimism.

The index jumped very sharply from a (historic) low of 35.6 in November 2008 to 54.5 in May 2009 just a tad below 54.7 in November 2007 when the US recession just began.

When asked, “Do you feel the U.S. economy will improve/remain the same/get worse in the next six months?”, 45% of participants said improve, 43% said remain the same. Only 13% said it will get worse, down sharply from 63% in November 2008

When asked, “How optimistic are you about the growth of your own business over the next six months?”, 9% respondents are very optimistic, 53% are somewhat optimistic (up from 37% in November 2008), 38% are somewhat or very pessimistic.

Finally, a very interesting question, “Do you expect the number of people you employ will increase/remain the same/decrease in the next six months?”. And surprisingly, the results were:
Increase: 20%, up from 9% in February 2009
Remain the same: 50%, up from 43% in November 2008
Decrease: 30%, down from 45% in February 2009

Grant Thornton also asked another pointed question, “When do you think the economy will come out of recession?” 15% said second half of 2009, 54% respondents said the first half of 2010, 24% said sometime in the second half of 2010 and 6% said not until 2011.

The full survey is available at http://ow.ly/dlIq

We turned to other Big4 surveys and found some support for this optimism.

In KPMG’s March and April 2009 survey of insurance executives, they report, “
The results show that more than half the respondents expect an improvement in organic growth (55 percent) and expect an improvement in growth by acquisition or take-over (53 percent) during the next 12 months. Respondents are also positive about their business prospects as they relate to premium volume (say 53 percent), expense ratio (say 53 percent) and capital reserves (say 47 percent). They are least positive about their share price, with only 40 percent of respondents expecting to see an improvement in this area.” (http://ow.ly/dlIl)

Deloitte looked at UK hotel performance from January to May 2009, and found that, “Whilst revenue per available room (revPAR) is still negative, the pace of decline is reducing and some markets are actually showing gains on 2008 numbers with strong leisure demand driving up weekend occupancies and revenues. There is also a trend of improving performance in the weekday corporate business market in London.” (http://ow.ly/dlId)


Today, June 10, 2009, PricewaterhouseCoopers’ Private Company Trendsetter Barometer shows, “Efforts to succeed in the current climate include both cost-cutting and revenue generating measures. More private companies are focused on cost reduction than on new revenue generation, even though those companies focused on new revenue generation report much stronger projected revenue growth over the next 12 months than their cost-cutting counterparts (7.4 percent and 0.6 percent, respectively). Those planning a combined approach fell to the middle at 2.3 percent.” (http://ow.ly/dlI7)


On 28 May 2009, The Ernst & Young Mining eye index gained 29% over Q1 2009, supported by steady upward momentum in the prices of some key traded metals, a big change for an index that lost 46% during the previous quarter and 75% over 2008. However, the Mining eye still remains some 71% below its 2008 (and record) high and 26% below its 2004 base level. Further, “ Quarter one showed signs of cautious optimism for AIM’s junior miners with secondary fundraising in the sector totalling £239 m, compared with £147 m in the previous quarter, and £295 m in Q1 of 2008, indicating that funding is available for the right projects. However, the full impact of the global economic slowdown has yet to be realised. AIM’s miners continued to warn of critical working capital constraints and some entered into voluntary administration arrangements or defaulted on credit payments. The number of mining companies delisting also rose to nine this quarter” (http://ow.ly/dlHV)


In our previous blog, we said, “These surveys conducted by reputable organizations surveying different group of business leaders and using different methodologies yet arriving at similar results indicates that uniformly economic sentiment remains very weak among company executives, worries about future growth, continued recession and dull employment prospects seem to predominate. The most recent KPMG survey seems to offer some green shoot of promise and we may begin to look at these surveys from all the Big Four firms as another leading indicator of sentiment and action as the world hopefully pulls itself of this economic mess in the short term to everyone’s great relief.”

And Grant Thornton’s larger scale US surveys, supported by unrelated data points from other Big4 surveys, seems to indicate that optimism to a large measure has returned to the executive mindset and managers seem to be positively oriented towards higher growth and better future prospects. Economists all across the world are saying that the worst seems to be over just about now, (and while not fully loosing our skepticism), we may cautiously join in that refrain.

Friday, May 29, 2009

KPMG Advisory Reorganizes From 9 Lines To 3 Groups

We see from KPMG’s website this morning that there is an internal reorganization of its KPMG Advisory Service Line with a new operating model and reducing its currently nine different service lines:

1. Accounting Advisory Services
2. Business Performance Services
3. Corporate Finance
4. Financial Risk Management
5. Forensic
6. Internal Audit, Risk & Compliance Services
7. IT Advisory Services
8. Restructuring
9. Transaction Services

into three larger service groups effective October 1, 2009:

1. Performance & Technology
2. Transactions & Restructuring
3. Risk & Compliance.

According to Global Head of Advisory Alan Buckle, “Our Advisory practice needs to evolve with the market. Our firms’ clients need rapid assistance in three broad areas: how to improve performance — especially by harnessing technology; how to execute transactions and restructure; and how to handle risk and compliance. Our business will now directly align to these needs.”

Changes and reorganizations are not new to the Big4 firms, which have constantly evolving internal structures, groupings and alignments as new leaders bring fresh ideas, ossified structures get revamped and market forces demand appropriate response. The primary reason for this particular one appears to be a combination of external demands and perhaps multiplicity of organizing internal units. This follows a key reorganization at Capgemini with the recent formation of its Global Consulting Unit.

If you look at the other Big4 firms and their internal organization of their Advisory unit, this makes KPMG having the smallest number of divisions. We see the leadership is generally remaining the same with some reshuffling of responsibilities, and we’ll have to see truly in the marketplace if this is a truly different business model with a radical change in its go-to-market or consulting strategy or just a periodic reorganization. Nonetheless, this is still a big change since it affects a multi-billion dollar business unit and around 30,000 employees.

KPMG Advisory is the second largest (32%) of the three groups with $7.3 billion revenues in 2008 and an impressive growth of 13% from previous year. Audit, the largest has 2008 revenues of $10.7 billion and grew 14%, while Tax, the smallest had 2008 revenues of $4.7 billion, but grew a creditable 18%.


In terms of other Big4 firms and their structure of their Advisory units:

PricewaterhouseCoopers - Advisory
1. Strategy
2. Operations Management
3. Human Resources
4. Business Advisory Services consulting.

Ernst and Young - Advisory
1. Actuarial Advisory Services
2. Business Advisory Services
3. Business Risk Services
4. Financial Services Risk Management
5. Fraud Investigation and Dispute Services
6. Technology and Security Risk Services

Capgemini - Consulting
1. Marketing, Sales and Service
2. Finance and Employee Transformation
3. Supply Chain Management
4. Transformation Consulting

Accenture - Consulting
1. Finance & Performance Management
2. Process & Innovation Performance
3. Talent & Organization Performance
4. Strategy
5. Customer Relationship Management
6. Supply Chain Management

Deloitte – Consulting
1. Financial Advisory Services Home
2. Analytic & Forensic Technology
3. Anti-Fraud Consulting
4. Anti-Money Laundering Consulting
5. Business Intelligence Services
6. Business Valuation
7. Capital Projects Consulting
8. Corporate Finance Advisory
9. Corporate Investigations
10. Deloitte Discovery
11. Document Review Services
12. Foreign Corrupt Practices Act Consulting
13. Forensic Center
14. Litigation & Dispute Consulting
15. Real Estate Consulting
16. Reorganization Services
17. Tangible Asset Valuation

PwC Buys BearingPoint Commercial Services, Pays $19 MM More

Another development in the BearingPoint bankruptcy saga, after the finalization of the Federal Services unit sale to Deloitte for $350 million, the bankruptcy court has authorized the sale of the
North American Commercial Services business, including its Financial Services segment and
associated Global Delivery Centers, to PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), the highest bidder for this service line. Under the terms of its winning bid at an auction, PwC will acquire the majority of BearingPoint’s Commercial Services unit for $44 million, subject to contractual adjustments. Subject to customary closing conditions, the sale is expected to be finalized by the end of June.

This is actually $19 million higher than the previously announced $25 million number expected on the sale on April 17, 2009, and in BearingPoint’s official press release. It’s not clear why the final price was higher, perhaps due to other bidders in the auction process, or the scope of the units was expanded. If any of our readers have more insight, we would love to hear.

This completes one of the three previously announced intentions of sale to Big Four firms, the others being Federal Services to Deloitte and BearingPoint Japan to PwC Japan. Which leaves the fate of the European and other international units still to be finalized, reports were that internal management teams would try for an MBO, but nothing official as yet on the BearingPoint site.

Wednesday, May 27, 2009

Accenture To Leave Sunny Bermuda For The Emerald Isle

Yesterday, Accenture’s Board of Directors unanimously approved a plan to change its place of incorporation from Hamilton, Bermuda to Dublin, Ireland. This will be put to shareholder vote in the next four months.

First, some history:

Prior to 2001, Accenture operated as a group of more than 40 locally owned partnerships and other entities in 46 countries. In 2001, Accenture's 2,500 partners chose to move to corporate form and seek a public listing; and voted to incorporate the parent company, Accenture Ltd, in Bermuda. If shareholders and the Supreme Court of Bermuda approve, Accenture PLC, an Irish company, will replace Accenture Ltd. as the parent company.

Second, the background:

President Obama’s administration recently announced significant changes in US tax policy, with a view to target companies which are basically operating in the US but are incorporated in tax havens outside America, and bringing their worldwide income under US tax jurisdiction.

Accenture is not alone, just in the past six months, the WSJ reports that Tyco International Ltd., Foster Wheeler Ltd., Weatherford International Ltd., Transocean Inc., Covidien Ltd., and Ingersoll-Rand Co. have all announced plans or finalized plans to change their places of incorporation.

Third, the motivation:

According to William D. Green, Accenture's chairman & CEO, "After a careful review, our Board of Directors has determined that changing our place of incorporation to Ireland is in the best interests of Accenture and our shareholders. We believe that incorporating in Ireland will provide Accenture with economic benefits and help ensure our continued global competitiveness.…”

Reading between the lines, we believe here are the key reasons for making this change at this point in time:

Continue Low Effective Tax Rate

Clearly there are financial benefits accruing to Accenture, while Bermuda imposes no corporate income tax, Ireland does have a such a tax around 12.5%, but doesn't impose it on various intra-company transactions, thus making it relatively easy to avoid. Accenture will have to do some strategic tax planning to ensure that the increased corporate tax rate in Ireland is effectively neutralized versus Bermuda. In 2008, Accenture paid $910 million taxes on a pretax income of $3.1 billion, almost 30% and less than the statutory US federal plus state tax rate of 39.5% on corporations.

Avoid Adverse Litigation

In addition, tax treaties signed in 1997 between US and Ireland can provide some form of protection for Accenture against any adverse litigation and potential double taxation.

Avoid Tough Proposed Legislation

Recent proposed legislation could be a problem for companies changing their place of incorporation from one tax friendly jurisdiction to another. Senators Levin and Doggett submitted bills that both require that companies controlled and managed in the US, regardless of where they are incorporated are subject to U.S. corporate-income tax. By moving at this time, Accenture can avoid the aftermath of this or any similar legislation.

Escape Public Criticism

“We have become concerned that the ongoing criticism of companies that are incorporated in Bermuda has raised questions that we need to address,” said Jim McAvoy, an Accenture spokesman.

US companies based in Bermuda are likely to face political and public criticism in the first wave following tax loophole eliminations as they are nearest to home country, US companies based in Europe may comparatively face less scrutiny at least on a relative scale.

Move Geographically With The Business

Almost 50% of Accenture’s business comes from Europe region which is the company’s largest region ahead of the 40% business coming from Americas. This is in line with other Big4 firms whose European revenues also exceed US based revenues and are growing at a faster rate.

Finally, there are some things that will not change:

No material change in operations, financial results or tax treatment
Continue to be registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
Shares will continue to trade on the New York Stock Exchange.
Subject to same SEC reporting requirements as NYSE companies

How did investors react to this? The news was released at 4pm on Tuesday after markets closed and ACN stock fell by 1.5% on Wednesday in line with the general downturn in the market. In summary, investors don’t really seem to think that this has any shareholder value impact.

Accenture is a financially very savvy company, and this move illustrates the agility and acumen of their operating and financial management. The company is not shy to take tough quick decisions to make or save money. Its original intent to incorporate outside the US caused some furor but the company effectively managed that and continued to pursue its original intentions. The current move is equally smart, and we have little doubt that Accenture will get this voted by shareholders and consummate the change in Q3 of this year. If by any chance, the shareholder vote is not in favor, we’ll be back to talk about this in a few months.